DreamerNLplus: Interpretable Modeling of Mental Health Dynamics from Social Media Timelines using Hybrid Rule-Based and RAG Methods
Authors: Maryia Zhyrko, Daisy Monika Lal, Erik van Mulligen, Lifeng Han
Organizations: Leiden Institute of Advanced Computer Science (LIACS), Leiden University, NL · School of Computing and Communications (SCC), Lancaster University, UK · Department of Medical Informatics, Erasmus University Medical Center Rotterdam, NL · Biomedical Data Sciences, Leiden University Medical Center, NL
Abstract
We present DreamerNLplus, a hybrid framework for modeling mental health dynamics from social media timelines in the CLPsych 2026 shared task. Our system addresses three tasks: psychological state modeling, temporal change detection, and sequence-level summarization. For Task 1, we combine LLM-based data augmentation, DeBERTa classification, and Random Forest regression for structured state prediction. For Task 2, we use few-shot prompting with a locally deployed Llama 3.1 model to detect Switch and Escalation events using short-term temporal context. For Task 3.1, we explore both a deterministic rule-based summarization pipeline and a few-shot LLM-based approach, ranking \textbf{2nd} officially. Our RAG-based method achieves strong performance in Task 3.2, ranking \textbf{1st} for Improvement and \textbf{3rd} for Deterioration, demonstrating its ability to capture recurrent psychological change patterns across timelines. Our analysis reveals key challenges, including the mismatch between classification and regression performance, the difficulty of modeling temporal transitions, and the disagreement between semantic and similarity-based evaluation metrics. These findings highlight the complexity of modeling mental health dynamics and motivate future work on unified evaluation frameworks. We share our code and prompts at https://github.com/4dpicture/CLPsych2026
We describe our submission to the CLPsych2026 Shared Task on capturing and characterizing mental health changes through social media timeline dynamics. To infer the dominant self-states in posts (Tasks 1.1 and 1.2), we ensemble in-context learning of three open-weight large language models using majority voting. For predicting moments of change in a timeline (Task2), we train supervised classifiers on features derived from Task1.1 predictions. To summarize the patterns of mood dynamics and their progression over time within a timeline (Task 3.1), we augment in-context example labels predicted by upstream systems (Tasks 1.1, 1.2, and 2), yielding performance gains over zero-shot and unaugmented in-context learning baselines. Our submission ranked first on Task1.1, fourth on Task1.2, fourth on Task2, and third on Task~3.1.\footnote{The source code for the experiments is available at https://github.com/amirzia/clpsych26-cuny
Amirmohammad Ziaei Bideh, Shameed Charlomar Job, Ava Yahyapour +1
Recent advances in Large Language Models (LLMs) have motivated their adoption across a wide range of domains, including Artificial Intelligence (AI) for mental health. Given the growing prevalence of mental health disorders worldwide and the limited accessibility of professional care, there is an increasing demand for scalable computational approaches that can assist in early detection and continuous monitoring of psychological well-being. In this area, ongoing efforts have focused on curating domain-specific datasets and leveraging them to develop LLMs capable of supporting holistic mental health analysis. In line with this direction, we propose an LLM-based pipeline for comprehensive mental health analysis over sequentially ordered user posts, as part of the CLPsych shared task. Our pipeline offers a unified framework that jointly enables post-level assessment and user-level temporal modeling.
Social media posts are a rich and valuable source of data for analyzing mental health states and users' well-being using automated analysis tools. In this work, we demonstrate how we used a range of Natural Language Processing (NLP) methods, including Long Short-Term Memory (LSTM), BERT-based models, and Large Language Models (LLMs), for self-state and well-being analysis and summarization during the CLPsych Shared Task 2026. Our approach achieved one of the top Consistency and Contradiction scores for the summarization task and also middle-level results for the other tasks. By testing and developing such mental health-state estimation systems, we contributed to improving mental health support systems. We make our code available https://github.com/psytechlab/CLPsych2026/.