UWM-JEPA: Predictive World Models That Imagine in Belief Space

World models construct latent states that support prediction, planning, and reasoning about an underlying system. Joint-embedding predictive architectures (JEPAs) offer a direct way to learn such states by predicting targets in representation space instead of reconstructing every detail of the observation. Standard JEPAs, however, organize all predictable content through one target embedding and one prediction pathway. In complex systems, this monolithic state can allocate redundant capacity to dominant signals while providing weak or conflicting gradients to less dominant predictive structure. We introduce \method, a latent world-modeling framework based on orthogonal predictive factorization. Learned basis matrices analyze each target state into multiple components, and a dedicated prediction branch estimates each component from a shared context representation. Predictive regression preserves the factor magnitudes required for state synthesis, an orthogonality objective discourages repeated directions, factor-activity regularization maintains variation in projected targets, and online variance regularization discourages coordinate-wise encoder collapse. Predicted components are synthesized into a complete latent state that can be used by a readout, decoder, planner, or autoregressive rollout. The same predictive-state mechanism applies when the target is temporally future, spatially hidden, or another partial observation of the same system. Experiments on controlled vision, single-cell transcriptomics, longitudinal health records, continuous control, and molecular dynamics evaluate representation quality, forecasting, planning, and long-horizon stability.

Joint Embedding Predictive Architectures (JEPAs) have recently emerged as a promising paradigm for world modeling by learning predictive dynamics in a latent space rather than generating future observations at the input level. Despite their empirical success, the theoretical understanding of JEPA-based world models remains limited. In this paper, we develop the first generalization theory for JEPA-based world models. We formulate JEPA pretraining as a conditional spectral graph learning problem and show that the JEPA objective is equivalent to a low-rank factorization of an action-conditioned co-occurrence matrix. Building on this characterization, we establish a connection between JEPA pretraining error and downstream planning regret, leading to a finite-sample generalization bound for JEPA-based world models. Our analysis reveals an inherent trade-off between approximation and sample errors with respect to the latent dimension, providing theoretical insights into the advantages and limitations of latent predictive models compared with input-level predictive approaches.

We propose PhyLatent, a dynamics-relevant training objective for JointEmbedding Predictive Architecture (JEPA) world models. Our key observation is that preventing global latent collapse does not ensure that a representation preserves physical states and action consequences. We identify three failure modes in JEPA world models: physical invariance collapse, physical identifiability collapse, and counterfactual dynamics collapse. PhyLatent addresses them through three training pathways: physical invariance, physical identifiability, and counterfactual dynamics, implemented with physical state grounding, future representation alignment, static visual invariance, counterfactual branch separation, and latent denoising. On OGBench-Cube, PhyLatent reduces the three failure rates from 15.60%, 6.71%, and 8.41% to 7.53%, 0.95%, and 4.62%, respectively, and improves model predictive control (MPC) success from 70.0% to 78.1%. With the same architecture and planner, it further improves success from 81.0% to 98.0% on TwoRooms and remains competitive on Reacher and PushT. These results show that global non-collapse alone is insufficient for learning a reliable JEPA worldmodel state space.