Do Modern Post-Hoc Watermarking Methods Beat Broken-Arrows?

Digital watermarking has emerged as a critical technique for provenance and copyright attribution in AI-generated imagery, yet its robustness against realistic, model-agnostic removal attacks remains poorly explored. Existing attacks either succeed only against specific generative models or achieve removal at the cost of severe visual degradation. In this paper, we propose MarkNull, a model-agnostic watermark removal attack via on-manifold latent manipulation. MarkNull is grounded in a key observation: watermarked images exhibit a strong statistical dependency between the generated latent representation and the embedded initial noise. To quantify this dependency, we introduce the Noise-Latent Alignment Score (NLAS) and formulate an optimization objective that selectively decorrelates the latent representation from the embedded watermark while preserving semantic fidelity. Extensive evaluations across different categories of watermarking paradigms, including post-hoc, fine-tuning-based, and initial-noise-based schemes, demonstrate that MarkNull reduces average bit accuracy to 53.14%, approaching random-guessing (50%), without perceptible image degradation. To further improve scalability, we propose MarkNull-A, an amortized, optimization-free variant that distills the attack into a single forward pass, achieving 0.50 s/image with modest computational overhead. Notably, our attacks successfully compromise Google's SynthID-Image system while preserving high visual quality and transfer effectively to video watermarking. Finally, we present an attack detection mechanism as a defensive counterpart to MarkNull and MarkNull-A, highlighting the necessity of developing watermark designs resilient to model-agnostic latent-space attacks.

The rapid emergence of generative image models has led to the development of specialized watermarking techniques, particularly in-generation methods such as seed-based embedding. However, current evaluations in this area remain largely empirical, making them heavily reliant on the specific model architectures used for generation and inversion. This prevents any clear conclusion on the performance of any method, especially regarding security, for which a rigorous definition is lacking. Against this approach, we argue that the effectiveness of a watermarking scheme should be established purely through a thorough theoretical analysis. This is enabled by decoupling the model-dependent part from the actual decision mechanism of the watermarking system. Using this decoupling, we introduce a formal evaluation framework based on security, robustness, and fidelity. This allows precise comparisons between watermarking systems through a characteristic surface representing the trade-off between these three quantities, independent of any generative model. Based on this framework, we propose SSB, a novel watermarking method that generalizes previous seed-based methods by allowing to reach any security-robustness-fidelity regime on its characteristic surface. This work opens the door to the design of modern watermarking systems with theoretical guarantees that do not necessitate any costly empirical evaluations.

With the proliferation of AI-generated images, digital watermarking has become an essential safeguard for protecting intellectual property and mitigating malicious exploitation. Recent works on semantic watermarking have enabled efficient copyright protection for diffusion models. However, the dependence of semantic watermarking on diffusion inversion for watermark detection creates a critical vulnerability. Imprint removal and forgery attacks exploit this weakness to produce deceptive results. Our analysis reveals that these attacks succeed by displacing watermarked latents into the unwatermarked region, while guiding unwatermarked latents into the watermarked region. Based on that, we propose Progressive Guided Inversion and Denoising (PGID), the first plug-and-play, training-free noise extraction framework designed to defend against both attack strategies. PGID effectively defends by projecting perturbed latents back to the region where they originally belong. The projection is achieved by eliminating intermediate latent deflections and mitigating adversarial perturbations through progressive inversion-denoising cycles. Comprehensive evaluations across multiple schemes demonstrate that PGID successfully restores detection reliability by recovering removed watermarks and identifying forged instances.