Ridge Regression from Poisson Resetting: A Renewal Perspective on Spectral Regularization
Authors: Petar Jolakoski
Organizations: Research Center for Computer Science and Information Technologies, Macedonian Academy of Sciences and Arts, Bul. Krste Misirkov 2, 1000 Skopje, Macedonia
Abstract
We connect stochastic resetting from non-equilibrium statistical physics with ridge regularization in statistical learning. For linear gradient flow, resetting to the origin at rate r produces stationary mean (X⊤X+rI)−1X⊤y, exactly the ridge estimator with penalty λ=r. This uses the known Laplace-transform relationship between ridge regression and exponential-time averaging of gradient flow, with the exponential time now interpreted as the stationary age associated with Poisson resetting. We then extend this identity to general renewal reset laws: the exponential reset time distribution is the unique renewal law whose stationary mean reproduces scalar ridge in every eigendirection as an exact filter identity for every positive curvature, while non-exponential renewal laws generate alternative spectral filters. At the fluctuation level, we study a separate additive Ornstein-Uhlenbeck extension with constant diffusion, interpreted as a stylized SGD approximation. In this setting, the equality holds only at the level of the mean, since the reset process has a nonzero stationary covariance from accumulated OU noise and reset-timing variance, whereas deterministic ridge is a fixed estimator with the same center. Stylized experiments compare the deterministic renewal-induced filters directly and illustrate when filters induced by non-exponential reset-time laws can differ predictively from ridge. The results for the stationary mean and the induced spectral filters are established for continuous-time gradient flow with isotropic resetting on quadratic objectives; the covariance and risk formulas additionally assume additive noise with state-independent covariance.
In overparameterized linear regression, many weak spectral directions act like a ridge penalty on the signal-bearing spectrum; negative ridge is the natural correction, pushing filters above one. The stable negative-ridge endpoint, however, is structurally limited: its pole must stay below the smallest nonzero empirical eigenvalue, and it anti-shrinks smaller eigenvalues more than larger ones. Early-stopped negative-shifted gradient descent escapes this constraint. Its filter is smooth at the would-be pole and mixed-sign-capable: above-ridgeless directions form a leading prefix, with lower directions shrunk or exposure-controlled while stopping sets the crossover. In a Gaussian spike-plus-flat model we discover a Marchenko-Pastur barrier: the shift that cancels the implicit penalty lies a bulk width above the smallest empirical eigenvalue, and the stopped path improves on every admissible endpoint by a polynomial factor in risk under explicit conditions. Our main theorem permits a general high-effective-rank tail: its trace sets the implicit floor, its squared spectrum controls exposure, and the floor-critical path recovers all head scales at once, beyond positive shrinkage and, once scales separate, every uniform rescaling of ridgeless. Handling the noncontractive shifted dynamics is the central technical challenge; localized Duhamel integrals control them. A finite-grid hold-out inequality transfers the separations to the validation-selected algorithm.
A fundamental problem in machine learning is understanding the effect of early stopping on the parameters obtained and the generalization capabilities of the model. Even for linear models, the effect is not fully understood for arbitrary learning rates and data. In this paper, we analyze the dynamics of discrete full batch gradient descent for linear regression. With minimal distributional assumptions, we characterize the trajectory of the parameters and the expected excess risk. Using this characterization, we show that when training with any learning rate schedule and finite time horizon, the early stopped solution is equivalent to the minimum norm solution for a generalized ridge regression problem. We also prove that early stopping is beneficial for generic data with arbitrary spectrum and for a wide variety of learning rate schedules. We provide an estimate for the optimal stopping time and empirically demonstrate the accuracy of our estimate.
We present a simple Gaussian approximation to the finite-sample distribution of the classical ridge regression estimator. Our approximation captures the fact that, in finite samples, the ridge regression estimator trades off bias and variance to reduce estimation and prediction error. Our approximation is based on nonstandard asymptotics where i) we let the estimator's regularization parameter grow proportionally to the sample size; and ii) we treat the population regression coefficients as \emph{local} to the reference vector that defines the estimator's direction of shrinkage. In contrast to other asymptotic approximations in the literature, we allow for general forms of heteroskedasticity and autocorrelation in the data generating process (at the cost of considering a low-dimensional model where the number of covariates is not allowed to grow with the sample size). We use our simple Gaussian approximation to propose two new strategies to select the regularization parameter for the ridge regression estimator. The suggested strategies select the regularization parameter to minimize either average or worst-case excess prediction risk, where risk is computed using our suggested Gaussian approximation.
José Luis Montiel Olea, Ryan Strong, Amilcar Velez +2