cs.LGMay 31, 2026
SaveAll Models are Wrong, Knowing Where is Useful: On Model Uncertainty in Reinforcement Learning
Abstract
Model-based reinforcement learning (MBRL) infers information about the environment from a learned dynamics model and bears the potential to address open problems such as data efficient and safe learning in robotics. However, inaccuracies of the learned dynamics model are typically exploited by the agent, substantially hampering the capabilities of MBRL methods. We present a framework for dealing with inaccuracies of probabilistic models through targeted handling of uncertainty that effectively mitigates model exploitation. We present recent successes in learning directly on hardware and safe exploration, and discuss future directions for uncertainty-aware MBRL.
Explore similar work
The RLxF programme argues that learning signals should come from world feedback rather than from internal model proxies. We instantiate this position in safe model-based control and distil it into three concrete design principles. Empirically, across four world-model architectures spanning a 2x MSE range, MPC planning is statistically equivalent (TOST, n=200), and dynamics-based uncertainty penalties increase collision rates from 26% to 34%: the standard MBRL safety proxy is anti-correlated with safety in this regime. Replacing the model-internal proxy with three world-feedback signals (a sensor-derived margin via minimum lidar, a temporal signal via time-to-collision, and an outcome-supervised feedback model g_psi trained on prior collision labels, structurally analogous to outcome-trained reward models in RLHF) reduces collisions to 1-14% without retraining the world model or the planner. The mechanism is structural: model uncertainty has support over state-prediction space, whereas task risk has support over constraint boundaries, with empirical correlation r < 0.15. From this we extract three RLxF principles (ground risk in world outcomes, validate proxies before deployment, and substitute outcome-trained feedback models when direct world signals are unavailable) and argue they apply equally to model-based control and to verifier-based or RLHF approaches in LLM alignment.
Certifiable Safe Model-Based Reinforcement Learning with Control-Affine Dynamics Approximation
Safe model-based reinforcement learning (RL) often bridges control-theoretic analysis and RL for robots to safely explore (partially) unknown system dynamics while deriving control actions for task efficiency. The control performance and safety assurance typically rely on prior knowledge of partially modeled nominal system dynamics and the data-driven models that compensate for residual model uncertainties. However, existing methods often overlook the structure of residual model uncertainties (e.g., components affine in control), which could lead to overly conservative robot behaviors or invalid safety guarantees under the safe learning-based controllers. This paper proposes a safe reinforcement learning framework that learns control-affine dynamics with a certifiable data-driven safe policy using control barrier functions (CBF). Specifically, we first use Control-Affine Random Fourier Features (ARFF) to model robot dynamics in a control-affine form, which offers computational efficiency that scales with dataset size and reduces potential model bias for model-based reinforcement learning. Then, a model-free, efficient uncertainty quantification method using adaptive conformal prediction (ACP) is applied to quantify the uncertainty in the safety constraint arising from the learned control-affine dynamics. This allows for data-driven safety assurance amenable to principled and efficient controller synthesis with CBF. Simulation results on the cartpole and the 3D quadrotor platforms demonstrate the effectiveness of the proposed framework.
Learning to Race in Minutes: Infoprop Dyna on the Mini Wheelbot
Reinforcement Learning (RL) has the potential to enable robots with fast, nonlinear, and unstable dynamics to reach the limits of their performance. However, most recent advances rely on carefully designed physics-based simulators and domain randomization to achieve successful sim-to-real transfer within reasonable wall-clock time. In this work, we bypass the need for such simulators and demonstrate that Infoprop Dyna, a state-of-the-art uncertainty-aware model-based reinforcement learning (MBRL) framework, can enable robots to learn directly from real-world interactions. Using Infoprop Dyna, the Mini Wheelbot, an underactuated unicycle robot, learns to race around a track within 11 minutes of real-world experience.