SynCred-Bench: Benchmarking Synthetic Credibility in AI-Generated Visual Misinformation

Recent AI-generated image (AIGI) detectors perform well on natural-image benchmarks, but their behavior on text-rich forgeries, such as fabricated screenshots, documents, and news pages prevalent in misinformation, remains untested. We introduce TextFake, a 20,000-image benchmark for text-rich AIGI detection spanning 28 languages, 4 topic categories, and 2 scene modalities. Fake images are synthesized via a four-stage pipeline that annotates real images along three controlled dimensions and generates counterparts through distribution-aligned structured prompting, ruling out covariate shortcuts. Zero-shot evaluation of 14 specialized detectors and 3 frontier VLM APIs reveals a large systematic gap: no method exceeds 80% accuracy, with some dropping over 60% from natural-image benchmarks. Diagnostic evaluations identify three failure modes: the Text Density Curse, where dense glyphs overwhelm low-level detectors; Cloaking via Rendering Fidelity, where stronger text rendering suppresses enerative artifacts; and Threshold Collapse, where routine perturbations drive detectors toward chance-level performance.

Rapid advances in image generation are eroding the evidentiary value of visual content in settings where authenticity can affect public safety and personal reputation. Yet existing detection benchmarks rarely examine synthetic images in public- and individual-safety contexts, where misleading visual content may carry substantial risks. Here we introduce SafeIMG, a safety-oriented benchmark spanning 12 public- and individual-safety scenarios generated using GPT Image 2. Unlike benchmarks centred on generic imagery and image-level labels, SafeIMG evaluates not only whether detectors recognise synthetic images, but also whether their decisions reflect human-identified anomalies. To this end, SafeIMG provides human annotations that localise suspicious regions and explain local artefacts and higher-level commonsense or physical inconsistencies. We evaluate specialized synthetic-image detectors and vision-language models (VLMs), and find that neither provides reliable detection. The strongest VLM identifies only 49.5% of generated images, whereas the best specialised detector identifies 33.1%, compared with 81.7% accuracy for human evaluators. Model explanations cover only 29.8% of human-annotated anomalies and predominantly capture local defects in text, faces and hands. Their coverage falls to 15.0% for commonsense conflicts and 12.0% for physical inconsistencies, while detection performance deteriorates further after dissemination-induced image degradation. These findings show that current detectors lack the accuracy, explanatory alignment and robustness needed to evaluate AI-generated images reliably across public- and individual-safety settings.

Frontier image generation has moved from artistic synthesis toward synthetic visual evidence. Systems such as GPT Image 2, Nano Banana Pro, Nano Banana 2, Nano Banana 2 Lite, Grok Imagine Image Quality, Qwen Image 2.0 Pro, and Seedream 5.0 Lite combine photorealistic rendering, readable typography, reference consistency, editing control, and in several cases reasoning or search-grounded image construction. These capabilities create large benefits for design, education, accessibility, and communication, yet they also weaken one of society's most common trust shortcuts: the belief that a plausible picture is a reliable record. This paper provides a source-grounded technical and policy analysis of synthetic visual risk. We first summarize the public capabilities of recent image models, then analyze public incidents involving fake crisis images, celebrity and public-figure imagery, medical scans, forged-looking documents, synthetic screenshots, phishing assets, and market-moving rumors. We introduce a capability-weighted risk framework that links model affordances to real-world harm in finance, medicine, news, law, emergency response, identity verification, and civic discourse. Our findings show that risk is driven less by photorealism alone than by the convergence of realism, legible text, identity persistence, fast iteration, and distribution context. We argue for layered control: model-side restrictions, cryptographic provenance, visible labeling, platform friction, sector-grade verification, and incident response. The paper closes with practical recommendations for model providers, platforms, newsrooms, financial institutions, healthcare systems, legal organizations, regulators, and ordinary users.