FlowGuard: Flow Matching for Identity-Independent Detection of Data-Free Model Stealing Attacks on Energy System Intrusion Detection Systems

Intrusion Detection Systems (IDSs) are essential for monitoring network traffic and identifying malicious activities in modern cyber-physical, Internet of Things (IoT), enterprise, and distributed network environments. However, developing reliable IDS models remains challenging because attack behaviors evolve over time, realistic datasets are difficult to obtain, traffic records may be incomplete, attack classes are often imbalanced, and privacy constraints limit centralized data collection. Recent advances in generative artificial intelligence (AI) and Federated Learning (FL) provide new opportunities to address these limitations. Generative models can support anomaly detection, synthetic traffic generation, data augmentation, data imputation, adversarial traffic generation, and IDS alert explanation. FL enables distributed IDS training without directly sharing local network traffic, making it suitable for privacy-sensitive and geographically distributed environments. This survey provides a structured review of generative AI and FL techniques for IDS. We first summarize representative IDS research directions, including adversarial machine learning, anomaly-based detection, IoT-oriented IDS, explainable IDS, and benchmark datasets. We then categorize generative AI applications in IDS according to model families and task objectives, covering autoencoder-based models, Generative Adversarial Networks (GANs), diffusion models, and Large Language Models (LLMs). Finally, we review emerging studies that integrate generative AI with FL-based IDS and discuss open challenges, including synthetic data quality, realistic traffic generation, dual-use adversarial risks, non-IID client distributions, communication-efficient model sharing, federated IDS benchmarking, and domain-specific LLMs for network security.

Training and evaluating false data injection attack (FDIA) detectors for power systems is constrained by data scarcity. Operational grid measurements are commercially sensitive, and hand-crafted attacks fail to capture complex distributional structures imposed by network physics. We present \textsc{GenAI-FDIA}, a framework benchmarking a pool of $P{=}20$ architectures for physics-compliant FDIA synthesis, spanning Wasserstein GANs, MMD-VAEs, normalising flows, diffusion models, and cross-family hybrids. These are evaluated across three IEEE testbeds (14-bus DC, 30-bus DC, and 14-bus AC) under a 60/20/20 chronological split using data-driven Bad Data Detection (BDD) threshold calibration. Our empirical results verify that these models generate high-fidelity attacks, with all architectures achieving evasion rates of $ε_{\text{BDD}} \ge 86.6\%$ on the 14-bus network; additionally, limiting an attacker's topological knowledge induces a measurable degradation in stealthiness ($p \le 0.0022$). Crucially, we identify a previously unreported failure mode: applying affine physics projections directly in normalised feature spaces critically displaces the attack vector, collapsing BDD evasion from ${\sim}55\%$ to $<\!2\%$ on the 30-bus testbed. We resolve this via a novel inference-time harmoniser, restoring full stealthiness ($ε_{\text{BDD}}{=}100\%$) across all physics-informed variants without retraining. Finally, we isolate a covariance-collapse phenomenon ($κ\approx {-}0.076$) within advanced hybrid architectures and rectify it through 50-epoch warm-up schedules ($κ\to 0.785$, $Δ\text{MMD}={-}3.1\%$). Ultimately, \textsc{GenAI-FDIA} delivers a robust recovery blueprint applicable to any physics-constrained generative model deployed for power-system security.

Modern network intrusion detection systems (NIDS) are caught in a structural contradiction: the protocols carrying the highest threat intelligence are precisely those encrypted under TLS 1.3 and QUIC, where payload inspection yields nothing. We ask a simpler question -- what if the attack signature is not in the bytes, but in the rhythm? -- and answer it by treating network flows as a language whose grammar is written entirely in L3/L4 packet metadata: length, inter-arrival time, TTL, TCP flags, and hashed port numbers. We present PLM-NIDS, which proves three claims in sequence. (1) The grammar exists and is learnable: a RWKV-4 state-space model trained on 344,232 unlabelled Monday flows achieves a causal LM validation loss of 0.204, demonstrating that benign traffic has predictable, statistically consistent structure. (2) Attacks violate this grammar: the per-flow perplexity score cleanly separates benign from attack flows with PR-AUC = 0.93 using zero attack labels at training time. (3) This separation is architecturally nontrivial: an LSTM trained on identical token sequences degenerates to a majority-class predictor (ROC-AUC approximately 0.50, F1 = 0.91 by always predicting "attack"), proving that RWKV's causal pre-training provides an inductive bias unavailable to direct classifiers. Supervised fine-tuning further raises PR-AUC to 0.94 and ROC-AUC to 0.75, with a precision of 97.7% at the calibrated operating threshold. The RWKV backbone's O(T) recurrent inference enables per-packet streaming without flow buffering, making PLM-NIDS operationally viable at line rate. Because it reads only IP/TCP/UDP headers, it is inherently encryption-agnostic: TLS 1.3, QUIC, and future encrypted protocols are handled transparently.