Finding Most Influential Sets

We study fixed-precision ranking-and-selection in structured settings where the answer may be non-unique and where noisy estimates may temporarily admit no valid answer at all. This phenomenon arises naturally in problems such as multi-fidelity ranking-and-selection and identifying a Condorcet winner from pairwise comparisons. To address this, we propose a unified framework based on answer-wise acceptance sets, restricted generalized likelihood ratio stopping, and an answer-pitfall decomposition that yields a max-max-min characteristic value and a common sampling principle. We introduce ENDS, a general procedure that combines estimation, nomination, pitfall detection, and cost-aware information-directed selection. We instantiate ENDS for various problems by deriving explicit formulas. Extensive numerical experiments show that this unified recipe performs well across a broad range of pure-exploration problems and offers a practical framework and proof-of-concept algorithmic recipe.

The impact of a given training point on a statistical model is classically measured through its leave-one-out influence, which quantifies the effect of its removal from the training set on the model accuracy. While the statistics of leave-one-out influences are well understood in the low-dimensional, large sample limit $n\to \infty, d=O(1)$, they become more intricate in high dimensions, as the influence of a given sample develops non-trivial dependencies on all other training samples. For convex M-estimation under Gaussian design, in the high-dimensional limit $n\asymp d$, we show that the distribution of the influences across the training set converges to a limiting measure which we sharply characterize. Building on these results, we provide evidence that influential samples tend to lie close to the decision boundary, thereby making contact with a standard data selection heuristic in active learning.

When, in terms of the number of data points, the size of a dataset exceeds available computing resources, or when labeling is expensive, an attractive solution consists of selecting only some of the data points (subdata) for further consideration. A central question for selecting subdata of size $n$ from $N$ available data points is which $n$ points to select. While an answer to this question depends on the objective, one approach for a parametric model and a focus on parameter estimation is to select subdata that retains maximal information. Identifying such subdata is a classical NP-hard problem due to its inherent discreteness. Based on optimal approximate design theory, we develop a new methodology for information-based subdata selection, resulting in subdata that approaches the optimal solution. To achieve this, we develop a novel algorithm that applies to a general model, accommodates arbitrary choices of $N$ and $n$, and supports multiple optimality criteria, and we prove its convergence. Moreover, the new methodology facilitates an assessment of the efficiency of subdata selected by any method by obtaining tight lower and upper bounds for the efficiency. We show that the subdata obtained through the new methodology is highly efficient and outperforms all existing methods.