Learned Response-Field Inertia Operator for HEC-RAS 2D Water-Surface Elevation Prediction
Authors: Edward Holmberg, Elias Ioup, Md Meftahul Ferdaus, Mahdi Abdelguerfi, Julian Simeonov
Abstract
This article presents a cross-dataset evaluation of learned native-cell surrogate models for solver-consistent water-surface elevation (WSE) prediction in HEC-RAS 2D. To avoid raster remapping error and information-access confounding, surrogates are evaluated directly on the original nonuniform computational cells under an explicit policy that separates static project inputs, current hydraulic state, project-input forcing, calibration-derived quantities, and future solver-output targets. We introduce the Learned Response-Field Inertia Operator (LRFIO), a no-forcing, increment-based learned surrogate that calibrates an inertial response operator from solved HEC-RAS trajectories and deploys the retained operator through closed-form native-cell rollout. LRFIO evaluates a base-case-first response hierarchy consisting of persistence, global calibrated inertia, and segmented response-field inertia. Segmentation, residual correction, and neuralized inertia are treated as learnable modeling choices, with added complexity retained only when validation evidence justifies its cost. Evaluated across four diverse HEC-RAS 2D benchmarks, LRFIO retains different response structures for different domains, demonstrating adaptive learned complexity. The selector audit shows controlled complexity with a maximum validation regret of 4.30%. During deployment, retained rollout times range from 0.003 s to 0.242 s, and the Beaver Bayou measured-solve comparison gives an estimated 2.75 x 10^4 horizon-normalized speedup over HEC-RAS. These results indicate that the current native-cell increment is a strong solver-conditioned predictive scaffold and that added response-field, neural, or spatial complexity should be retained only when empirically justified.
High-fidelity immersed-boundary simulation resolves the coupled motion of a deforming swimmer and its surrounding flow, but the resulting cost limits repeated evaluations for engineering design, parameter studies, and control. We develop neural-operator surrogates for temporal prediction of the hydrodynamic fields generated by planar and volumetric eel swimmers. The surrogates are trained on regular-grid fields exported from adaptive fluid--structure simulations and are conditioned on swimmer geometry and Reynolds number. The planar model jointly predicts two velocity components, scalar vorticity, and pressure. On five held-out high-Reynolds-number trajectories, its full-domain global relative L^2 error is 3.51 %. The volumetric formulation uses three target-specific models with a common multichannel input: one model predicts three-dimensional velocity, one predicts vorticity, and one predicts pressure. Their full-domain global relative L^2 errors on five held-out within-range trajectories are 3.44 %, 5.58 %, and 19.2 %. Together, the results demonstrate the feasibility of field-resolved neural surrogates for moving-boundary swimmer flows while identifying pressure accuracy and physical consistency as priorities for further development.
Mohammad Sadegh Eshaghi, Yizheng Wang, Navid Valizadeh +2
A flow surrogate validated on a simple regime is often taken as evidence that the approach will carry to a richer one. We test this assumption on two transient flows under time-varying boundary conditions emulating the process startup: the three-dimensional slurry film in chemical-mechanical planarisation (CMP), a core semiconductor-manufacturing process, and the two-dimensional Karman vortex street (KVS) behind a cylinder. Eight surrogate models are compared on one shared evaluation pipeline, differing in whether they learn the full field or a latent representation, and whether they predict trajectories in one shot or step by step. No single architecture wins both regimes. On the film, a one-shot full-field model reconstructs the process-relevant cumulative wall shear stress to 3.2% relative error. On the wake, a latent autoregressive DeepONet retains 96% of the shedding power that direct and one-shot models damp to almost zero. The deciding axis is the treatment of time. The self-sustained wake requires the phase memory that autoregressive feedback provides, while the boundary-driven film rewards a direct map. Pointwise RMSE picks the wrong model in both regimes, so the evaluation scores five physical questions instead, the field, its structure, invented motion, amplitude, and timing. The trained surrogates answer queries 103 to 104 times faster than the finite-element solver, but the offline cost of the training simulations means they pay off from the first query beyond the training set for CMP and the third for the KVS. The choice of surrogate should follow the dynamical character of the target flow, and its validation should use failure-mode-resolved metrics, since neither the winning architecture nor its validation transfers.
Neural surrogates promise large speedups over classical solvers for physical dynamics but fail silently at sharp dynamical events such as shocks, fronts, and contact. We present hybrid neural world models for physical dynamics: a recipe for training and deploying multi-horizon surrogates in physical state space, where a single network with continuous horizon conditioning is trained with direct supervision against textbook reference solvers to predict any future state at horizon T in one forward pass. Although no part of the training data, loss function, or architecture supervises discontinuity location, the trained surrogate encodes it implicitly, recoverable from its forward passes alone as a per-trajectory error map that concentrates on shocks, fronts, and contacts, and stays small elsewhere. The map is competitive with or better than standard label-free baselines including deep ensembles, learned error heads, gradient-magnitude indicators, and locally-adaptive conformal prediction, while using only a single trained network and requiring no calibration set or governing-equation knowledge. The recipe supports two operating points. Mode 1 runs the surrogate alone for maximum throughput, with same-hardware CPU speedups of 26x to 72x against textbook solvers on the PDE environments. Mode 2 uses the error map to gate a reference-solver fallback, deferring uncertain trajectories and roughly halving the surrogate's residual error at the default operating point. The recipe applies without modification across reaction-diffusion, compressible Euler, and rigid-body collision dynamics.