Finite-Time Queue Peak Laws in Stochastic Networks: Logarithmic Scaling After Geometric Thresholds

We analyze Reflected UAS routing for heterogeneous multi-server queues at fixed parameters under subcritical load. The deterministic surrogate is a reflected ODE on the nonnegative orthant, not the unconstrained drift equation. This reflected ODE has a unique boundary equilibrium characterized by a scalar consistency equation and a convex-potential representation; all trajectories converge to it. The older argument lifting deterministic Lyapunov descent to CTMC stability fails: the exact generator applied to the deterministic potential produces a boundary term absent from the reflected-ODE descent identity. We give a direct Foster-Lyapunov drift inequality for the CTMC using a weighted-quadratic function, bypassing the failed lift. At the benchmark parameter point, the boundary equilibrium matches the numerical attractor to machine precision, and the default Reflected UAS policy has lower mean queue length than UAS and JSSQ across independent seed blocks.

Federated learning (FL) across multiple HPC facilities faces stochastic admission delays from batch schedulers that dominate wall-clock time. Synchronous FL suffers from severe stragglers, while asynchronous FL accumulates stale updates when queues spike. We propose FedQueue, a queue-aware FL protocol that incorporates scheduler delays directly into training and aggregation, which (i) predicts per-facility queue delays online to budget local work, (ii) applies cutoff-based admission that buffers late arrivals to bound staleness, and (iii) performs staleness-aware aggregation to stabilize heterogeneous local workloads. We prove the convergence for non-convex objectives at rate $\mathcal{O}(1/\sqrt{R})$ under bounded staleness, and show that the admission controls yield bounded staleness with high probability under queue-prediction error. Real-world cross-facility deployment of FedQueue shows 20.5% improvement over baseline algorithms. Controlled queue simulations demonstrate robust improvement over the baselines; in particular, up to 60% reduction in time to reach a target accuracy level under high queue variance and non-IID partitions.

Many social services assign scarce resources, such as housing assistance or hospital interventions, to people who arrive one at a time: each arrival must receive a decision immediately, and the long-run usage of every resource must stay within its capacity. We study how to learn such an assignment policy from logged observational data. The standard pipeline is decision-blind: fit one outcome model per arm by regression, price each capacitated resource from the fitted models, and assign each arrival the arm whose predicted outcome minus price is largest. We instead train the outcome models end-to-end, differentiating an off-policy estimate of the deployed policy's value through the dual prices themselves. We study two formulations: an exact nonconvex one, and a convex relaxation whose optimum always satisfies the capacity constraints in expectation and which is suboptimal by at most a term linear in the smoothing temperature and logarithmic in the number of arms. Every method is evaluated in a queueing simulation with resources replenished at their capacity rates. Across six datasets, the two end-to-end variants take the top slots on a deployment-adjusted value index at every delay cost, including zero; when capacities are binding, decision-blind baselines frequently violate them and incur much longer queueing delays. On the largest dataset, a hospital cohort of seventy thousand patients, end-to-end training also achieves significantly higher policy value, a margin that survives a capacity-matched neural baseline. Flexible decision-blind regression remains the stronger pure predictor where ground truth is measurable; end-to-end training is best suited to settings where resources are genuinely scarce and feasibility matters.