Critical Percolation as a Synthetic Data Model for Interpretability

Predicting critical phenomena from limited labeled data remains a challenging task in statistical physics. As percolation theory provides a canonical model for phase transitions with well-established critical exponents, it serves as an ideal benchmark for validating new machine learning frameworks. Here, we introduce a label-efficient learning framework based on a Siamese Neural Network (SNN) to identify phase transitions in three-dimensional site and bond percolation models. Using only 22 labeled probability points drawn entirely from non-critical regions, the method locates percolation thresholds with percent-level accuracy and yields estimates of the critical exponent $ν$ consistent with literature values within statistical uncertainty. Analysis of the learned representations clarifies what the network learns: although trained solely on binary similarity labels, the network autonomously converges to a statistic that coincides quantitatively with the normalized largest-cluster size $S_{max}/L^3$ ($r > 0.99$), the finite-size order parameter of percolation. This underlies the framework's most distinctive capability -- a model trained solely on simple cubic lattices identifies the phase transition in face-centered cubic lattices without retraining. The framework thus offers a complementary route to criticality detection in settings where no quantitative order parameter is explicitly defined or labeled data is scarce.

Generative models, from diffusion models to large language models, achieve remarkable performance but at a cost in training data orders of magnitude larger than what biological learners require. An alternative paradigm has emerged in which networks are trained to predict their \emph{own} latent representations of related views or masked regions, as in data2vec and JEPA -- an idea related to predictive-coding accounts of the cortex. Despite strong empirical results, the theoretical understanding of these methods remains limited. Central questions include: by how much does latent prediction actually improve data efficiency? Is there a benefit to stacking such methods into multi-scale hierarchies? We answer both using as data a tractable probabilistic context-free grammar that captures the compositional structure of natural language and images. Such a grammar generates strings of visible tokens by recursively applying production rules along a tree of hidden symbols of depth $L$. For such data, supervised or token-level SSL require a number of samples \emph{exponential} in $L$ to recover the latent tree; we prove that latent prediction achieves this with a number of samples \emph{constant} in $L$, up to logarithmic factors. We confirm this bound with (i) a hierarchical clustering algorithm, (ii) an end-to-end neural network whose predictor-clusterer modules predict their own latents at each level via gradient descent, and (iii) the first sample-complexity analysis of data2vec, which we show implicitly performs hierarchical latent prediction. This suggests that explicit stacking such as H-JEPA is largely redundant.

Network data are ubiquitous across the social sciences, biology, and information systems. Generating realistic synthetic network data has broad applications from network simulation to scientific discovery. However, many existing black-box approaches for network generation tend to overfit observed data while overlooking characteristic network structure, and incur substantial computational overhead at scale. These practical challenges call for synthetic network generation methods that are both efficient and capable of capturing structural properties of networks. In this paper, we introduce Synthetic Network Generation via Latent Embedding Reconstruction (SyNGLER), a general and efficient framework for synthetic network generation that builds on latent space network models. Given an observed network, SyNGLER first learns low-dimensional latent node embeddings via a latent space network model and then reconstructs the latent space by building a distribution-free generator over these embeddings. For generation, SyNGLER first samples (or resamples) node embeddings from the generator in the latent space and then produces synthetic networks using the latent space network model. Through the latent space framework, SyNGLER preserves unique characteristics in networks such as sparsity and node degree heterogeneity, while allowing for efficient training with lower computational cost than many existing deep architectures. We provide theoretical guarantees by developing consistency results on the distance between the true and synthetic edge distributions. Empirical studies further demonstrate the effectiveness of SyNGLER, which efficiently produces networks that better preserve key network characteristics such as network moments and degree distributions compared with existing approaches. Code is available at https://github.com/FeifanJiang/syngler.