Minimax Quantile Lower Bounds for Interactive Statistical Decision Making with Privacy

In bandit problems, standard regret-minimizing algorithms treat exploration as an amortized cost, which can expose early participants to unfair ex-ante losses in settings such as clinical trials. Recent work addresses this by evaluating the sequence of per-round expected rewards through the generalized $p$-mean, interpolating between utilitarian welfare ($p=1$), Nash welfare ($p\to0$), and Rawlsian fairness ($p\to-\infty$). Although tight guarantees are known for $p\ge0$, the strictly fair regime $q=-p>0$ remains unresolved because negative-power means are dominated by the smallest per-round rewards. For $σ$-sub-Gaussian rewards with nonnegative means, the best prior algorithm relied on uniform early exploration and achieved regret $O(k^{(q+1)/2}/\sqrt{T})$, while the only general lower bound was the classical $Ω(σ\sqrt{k/T})$. Thus it was unclear whether the extra dependence on $k$ was intrinsic to strict fairness or an artifact of uniform exploration. We close this gap by identifying the exact polynomial price of strict fairness. Using a needle-in-haystack construction, we prove an algorithm-independent lower bound $Ω(σ\sqrt{k^{\max(1,q)}/T})$; for $q>1$, this shows that the penalty $k^{q/2}$ is information-theoretically unavoidable. We then introduce \textsf{UCB-HARE} (Harmonic Anchored Rank Exploration), which replaces uniform exploration with an inverse-weighted harmonic rank schedule protected by a certified positive-mean anchor. Its regret is $\widetilde{O}(σ\sqrt{k^{\max(1,q)}/T})$, matching the lower bound up to logarithmic factors. Experiments on synthetic instances confirm that \textsf{UCB-HARE} improves over uniform-exploration baselines, with gains increasing as $q$ grows.

Low-precision pretraining (FP8, MXFP4, NVFP4) is now standard for frontier language models, yet the literature is almost entirely achievability -- algorithms and empirical scaling laws -- with no matching characterization of what is information-theoretically possible. We study a B-bit quantized stochastic first-order oracle: an optimizer interacts for T rounds and receives, each round, a B-bit adaptive public-coin description of its stochastic gradient. Our main contribution is an exact reduction from optimizing a strongly convex quadratic family to interactively compressed Gaussian mean estimation -- under the B-bit oracle the query carries no information, so optimization collapses exactly onto a sequential distributed-estimation problem. This yields two unconditional lower bounds, a communication bound TB = Omega(d) and a statistical bound T = Omega(sigma^2 d / eps^2), and the sharp product-form bound T = Omega((sigma^2 d / eps^2) max{1, d/B}). The product form is also unconditional: a B-bit transcript carries at most O(TB / sigma^2) of Fisher trace about the mean, so bits rather than dimension limit the recoverable information, and combined with the multivariate van Trees inequality this gives the bound directly, without bounded-likelihood-ratio truncation. We give a near-matching achievability result with exact per-round bit accounting under a bounded-dynamic-range oracle, tight up to a logarithmic factor; the lower bound is for truly Gaussian (unbounded) gradients, and closing this oracle gap is left open. A sequential rate-distortion perspective extends the reduction to correlated and drifting oracles and corrects an earlier conjecture: positive noise correlation raises the bound by (1+rho)/(1-rho) rather than relaxing it. The bounds give an information-theoretic baseline for any low-bit gradient path, not an optimality claim about deployed FP4 systems.

We study stochastic linear bandits under a natural combination of batching and communication constraints: the time horizon is partitioned into batches of equal size $B$, and during each batch the learner sends $B$ requested arm pulls to an agent, who then observes the corresponding $B$ rewards and responds with a single bit of feedback to the learner. For each batch, the learner specifies the 1-bit quantization rule the agent uses, which may depend on all previously received bits but not on any past rewards directly. This setting addresses a significant yet unexplored ``middle ground'' between previous models having per-round quantization only or total bit budgets only. We establish a minimax lower bound showing that $Ω(B\min\{d,\log\lvert \mathcal{A} \rvert\})$ regret is unavoidable due to the 1-bit communication bottleneck, even in the absence of noise. Combined with standard statistical limits, this yields a general lower bound of $\widetildeΩ(B\min\{d,\log\lvert \mathcal{A} \rvert\} + \sqrt{dT \min\{d,\log\lvert \mathcal{A} \rvert\}})$. We develop two phased-elimination algorithms based on $G$-optimal designs and 1-bit mean estimation. The first achieves $\widetilde{O}(dB + d\sqrt{T})$ regret, matching the lower bound up to logarithmic factors when $\lvert \mathcal{A} \rvert = \exp(Ω(d))$, and the second incorporates a safe-arm identification and warm-start procedure to obtain $\widetilde{O}(B\log\lvert \mathcal{A} \rvert + d^{3/2}\sqrt{B} + \sqrt{dT\log\lvert \mathcal{A} \rvert})$ regret, which is near-optimal in broad scaling regimes of $(\lvert \mathcal{A} \rvert, B, d, T)$. Together, our results demonstrate that a single bit of feedback per batch suffices to nearly match the minimax regret of unconstrained linear bandits in broad scaling regimes, even for batch sizes as large as $Θ(\sqrt{T})$.