Recent studies have shown that semantic watermarks, which embed information into the initial noise of latent diffusion models (LDMs), are vulnerable to black-box forgery attacks. However, existing methods primarily rely on empirical evidence and lack a rigorous theoretical understanding of the conditions under which such attacks succeed or fail. To bridge this gap, we rethink the nature of such attacks through the lens of rate-distortion in the latent space. Our analysis identifies an irreducible distortion floor due to structural mismatches between proxy and target models, which fundamentally limits the fidelity of forged watermarks. We further characterize this distortion as structured geometric deviations on the latent manifold, in the form of global drift and local deformation rather than stochastic noise. Leveraging these insights, we propose a scheme-agnostic detection method that distinguishes forged samples before watermark verification. Extensive experiments demonstrate the effectiveness of our method across diverse black-box scenarios, while preserving robustness to common distortions.
Although semantic watermarking is considered a promising safeguard for images generated by Latent Diffusion Models (LDMs), the reliance of the watermark detection pipeline on neural networks introduces a critical yet underexplored backdoor attack surface. To systematically study this vulnerability, we propose GhostVAE to plant a stealthy backdoor into the encoder of Variational Autoencoder (VAE), enabling reliable evasion of watermark detection. GhostVAE operates in two stages: it first constructs a universal trigger via power spectrum regularization to improve the trigger robustness, and then trains a backdoored VAE encoder with a parameter-aligned objective. Through extensive evaluations across three state-of-the-art semantic watermarking schemes and three widely adopted LDMs, we show that GhostVAE preserves watermark detection performance on benign images (achieving an average true positive rate of 94.4%), while simultaneously enabling highly effective evasion under trigger activation (achieving an average attack success rate of 94.6%). Moreover, we comprehensively analyze seventeen representative defenses and demonstrate that GhostVAE remains stealthy across the input space, parameter space, and latent space. Our work fundamentally undermines the trustworthiness of semantic watermarking systems and highlights that secure deployment of semantic watermarks requires end-to-end security considerations, particularly for neural network components.
Latent-based diffusion model watermarking embeds watermarks into generated images' latent space to enable content attribution, offering a training-free solution for intellectual property protection and digital forensics. However, these methods exhibit a critical vulnerability to the forgery attack, attackers can extract the watermark by inverting the watermarked image and re-generating it with an arbitrary prompt, thereby enabling false attribution on malicious content. In this paper, we propose the CSGuard, the first forgery-resistant watermarking schema that leverages compressed sensing to bind the watermarked image generation and verification to a secret matrix. This ensures that only users possessing the secret matrix can correctly embed or verify the image watermark, prevents the illegal users from forgery without compromising generation quality and watermark integrity. Experimental results demonstrate that CSGuard achieves strong forgery resistance, reduces the attack success rate from 100.0% to 28.12%, and achieve 100% detection rate on benign watermarked images without compromising watermarking effectiveness.
With the proliferation of AI-generated images, digital watermarking has become an essential safeguard for protecting intellectual property and mitigating malicious exploitation. Recent works on semantic watermarking have enabled efficient copyright protection for diffusion models. However, the dependence of semantic watermarking on diffusion inversion for watermark detection creates a critical vulnerability. Imprint removal and forgery attacks exploit this weakness to produce deceptive results. Our analysis reveals that these attacks succeed by displacing watermarked latents into the unwatermarked region, while guiding unwatermarked latents into the watermarked region. Based on that, we propose Progressive Guided Inversion and Denoising (PGID), the first plug-and-play, training-free noise extraction framework designed to defend against both attack strategies. PGID effectively defends by projecting perturbed latents back to the region where they originally belong. The projection is achieved by eliminating intermediate latent deflections and mitigating adversarial perturbations through progressive inversion-denoising cycles. Comprehensive evaluations across multiple schemes demonstrate that PGID successfully restores detection reliability by recovering removed watermarks and identifying forged instances.