Narrative World Model: Narratology-Grounded Writer Memory for Long-Form Fiction

Long-form narrative QA requires reasoning over evolving story worlds rather than isolated passages: answers may depend on earlier goals, changing character states, social relations, causal triggers, temporal position, and later consequences. Existing retrieval and graph-augmented generation methods improve evidence access, but their units--chunks, entities, relations, summaries, or tool actions--do not directly encode how evidence functions in a story. We introduce Narrative Knowledge Weaver(NKW), a source-grounded framework that aligns textual evidence, atomic facts, canonical graph structure, entity profiles, interactions, episodes, and storylines. At query time, NKW uses text, graph, and narrative tools with post-retrieval reading skills to assemble evidence and audit actor, scope, polarity, state, and temporal constraints. Across STAGE, FairytaleQA, and QuALITY, NKW is strongest on screenplay-level story-world QA while remaining competitive on more passage-centered benchmarks. Ablations, question-type analyses, graph-asset statistics, and case studies show complementary benefits for character, scene, temporal, causal, and narrative-progression reasoning.

Long-form narratives are challenging for long-context models because their structure is implicit: events, characters, and plotlines interact across hundreds of pages without the explicit cues that guide navigation in structured documents. We address this by constructing storyline trees, hierarchical representations that organize narratives from global themes and major plotlines to fine-grained events. We first segment chapters into contiguous narrative segments, or scenes, and use them as the basic units for tree construction. We then infer storyline trees through complementary top-down and bottom-up procedures that derive, refine, cluster, and summarize storylines at multiple levels of abstraction. We showcase the utility of this representation for question answering: storyline trees enable adaptive retrieval, allowing models to iteratively inspect high-level narrative structure and retrieve scene-level evidence on demand. Experiments on three long-context narrative QA benchmarks show that adaptive retrieval outperforms strong baselines, including post-trained long-context models and agentic chunk-based methods. Ablations confirm that scenes are more effective basic units than chapters or generic segmentation, and that gains persist under matched retrieval budgets

We investigate when belief-based memory actually improves large language model (LLM) agents. Our vehicle is Nous, a long-term memory architecture that represents each entity-attribute pair as a categorical probability distribution updated through closed-form Bayesian inference, with information-theoretic surprise driving belief revision and entropy-based forgetting. A controlled ablation on the LoCoMo benchmark shows that Bayesian belief updating alone provides little benefit over naive last-write-wins because existing conversational memory benchmarks rarely contain contradictory or differently reliable evidence. We then introduce reliability-conditioned updating, estimating per-observation reliability from epistemic language, and show on a controlled contradiction benchmark that belief updating substantially outperforms last-write-wins and raw-memory retrieval when observations differ in trustworthiness. Because content-derived reliability is itself vulnerable to manipulation, we further propose provenance-capped belief updating, where trust is bounded by source provenance rather than textual confidence. Under controlled memory-poisoning experiments, this approach resists volumetric poisoning attacks while revealing the utility costs and implementation requirements of provenance-aware memory. Finally, we quantify a 27.5-point discrepancy between strict token-F1 and LLM-as-judge evaluation on identical outputs, highlighting important reproducibility concerns for long-term memory benchmarks. Our results suggest that probabilistic belief-based memory is most beneficial in environments requiring reasoning over conflicting and differently trustworthy evidence, rather than conventional conversational recall alone.