How Context Attribution Handles What the Model Already Knows

Large language model (LLM) hallucinations, meaning fluent but factually incorrect generations, fall into two types: faithfulness violations, where the model misuses provided context, and factuality violations, where answers reflect errors in internal knowledge. Proper mitigation depends on knowing which source drives each answer. We study contributive attribution, i.e. the classification of the dominant knowledge source behind each output, and show that a simple linear probe trained on hidden representations can reliably identify it. We introduce AttriWiki, a self-supervised pipeline that automatically generates labelled training data by prompting models to recall withheld entities from memory or read them from context without relying on knowledge conflicts. Probes trained on AttriWiki achieve up to 0.96 Macro-$F_1$ on Llama-3.1-8B, Mistral-7B, and Qwen-7B, transfer to SQuAD and WebQuestions with 0.94-0.99 Macro-$F_1$, and generalise zero-shot to Tighidet et al. (2024)'s benchmark, outperforming their probe on conflicting settings without retraining. Furthermore, attribution mismatches raise error rates by up to 70%, though correct attribution does not guarantee correct answers, pointing to the need for broader detection frameworks.

The generative nature of Large Language Models (LLMs) is reflected in the conditional probabilities they compute to sample each response token given the previous tokens. These probabilities encode the distributional structure that the model learns in training and exploits in inference. In this work, we use these probabilities to situate LLMs within the mathematical theory of stochastic processes. We use this framework to design a model-agnostic probabilistic token attribution measure, using Bayes rule to invert the next-token log-probabilities so as to capture the models internal representation of the distribution over token sequences. The representation is independent of the models computational structure. This representation yields the conditional probability of the response given the prompt, and of the response given the prompt with a token marginalized away. Our attribution score is the log of the ratio of these probabilities. We further compute the entropies of a single prompts token distributions, conditioned on the remaining context. The interplay between entropy and attribution score sheds light on LLM behavior. We evaluate 8 models across 7 prompts and investigate anomalies, token sensitivity, response stability, model stability, and training convergence, thereby improving interpretability and guiding users to focus on uncertain or unstable parts of the generation.

Interpretability tools are increasingly used to analyze failures of Large Language Models (LLMs), yet prior work largely focuses on short prompts or toy settings, leaving their behavior on commonly used benchmarks underexplored. To address this gap, we study contrastive, LRP-based attribution as a practical tool for analyzing LLM failures in realistic settings. We formulate failure analysis as \textit{contrastive attribution}, attributing the logit difference between an incorrect output token and a correct alternative to input tokens and internal model states, and introduce an efficient extension that enables construction of cross-layer attribution graphs for long-context inputs. Using this framework, we conduct a systematic empirical study across benchmarks, comparing attribution patterns across datasets, model sizes, and training checkpoints. Our results show that this token-level contrastive attribution can yield informative signals in some failure cases, but is not universally applicable, highlighting both its utility and its limitations for realistic LLM failure analysis. Our code is available at: https://aka.ms/Debug-XAI.