The Condition-Number Barrier in Sparse Least Squares
Organizations: Google Research, Carnegie Mellon University / Texas A&M University. · Google Research. · Google Research and Carnegie Mellon University.
Abstract
In [AS21], Axiotis and Sviridenko conjectured that the linear dependence on the restricted condition number in sparse convex optimization cannot be improved by a polynomial-time algorithm. We establish their conjectured lower bound for least-squares objectives, conditional on the randomized exact-volume Small-Set Expansion Hypothesis in the weighted regular-graph formulation of Raghavendra, Steurer, and Tulsiani [RST12]. Concretely, for every fixed , there is no randomized polynomial-time algorithm that, with probability at least , returns a vector such that, writing ,
where is the restricted condition number at sparsity level . The result holds even on rational instances with of full column rank. The proof was first obtained using a fully automated Gemini-based agentic system developed internally at Google. The authors have verified the proof and edited it for clarity of presentation.