Dynamics Models for Offline Hyperparameter Selection in Real-World RL
Authors: Jordan Coblin, Han Wang, Martha White, Adam White
Abstract
A key obstacle to deploying reinforcement learning in real-world systems is hyperparameter selection, particularly when simulators are unavailable and online experimentation is costly. Prior work has proposed calibration models trained on offline data to approximate environment dynamics and enable offline hyperparameter selection, but these methods have so far been evaluated only in simple simulated settings. In this paper, we present the first application of calibration models in a real-world industrial setting: a municipal water treatment plant. We evaluate several calibration model approaches, including a k-nearest neighbors model with a Laplacian distance metric, on high-dimensional, non-stationary sensor data for nexting prediction tasks. Our results show that these models can generate realistic long-horizon rollouts and recover meaningful hyperparameter sensitivity trends. We further examine how calibration models scale to year-long datasets, how they support the selection of fine-tuning learning rates for pre-trained agents, and how robust they are under distribution shift. Overall, our findings provide a proof of concept for using offline dynamics models to support RL deployment in real-world environments, while highlighting important practical challenges for future work.
World models are widely used in offline reinforcement learning (RL) to improve sample efficiency and generate experience beyond a fixed dataset. However, they are vulnerable to model exploitation where data coverage is thin. Prior work addresses this either by collecting more expert demonstrations, which is often expensive, unsafe, or unavailable, or by conservative algorithms that avoid uncertain regions, which limits generalization. We propose instead to repair exploitation directly using human preferences over imagined rollouts, leveraging the strong intuitive physics that allows humans to easily spot egregious dynamics hallucinations. We formalize this as Dynamics Learning from Human Feedback (DLHF), a Bradley-Terry preference loss over trajectory log-likelihoods under a learned dynamics model. Unfortunately, naive DLHF is sample inefficient, so we introduce RENEW, which uses epistemic uncertainty to focus finetuning where the model is most exploitable. We evaluate on several Jumanji and classic control environments and find that while naive DLHF requires an outsize preference budget, RENEW makes the framework practical by improving sample efficiency, limiting catastrophic forgetting, and reducing exploitation in pretrained world models. Taken together, our results provide initial evidence that preferences can supervise world model dynamics directly, offering a new approach to addressing exploitation in offline model-based RL.
Offline RL (ORL) promises safe and sample-efficient deployment but existing methods rely on undocumented online interactions for hyperparameter tuning and lack reliable fully offline estimates of initial online performance. We introduce SOReL, a fully offline Bayesian model-based RL method that learns a posterior over dynamics, estimates policy value via predictive uncertainty, and enables complete offline hyperparameter selection. We further propose TOReL, which extends this tuning framework to arbitrary model-free and model-based ORL algorithms. We provide a regret analysis showing that Bayesian offline RL achieves the minimax-optimal parametric rate under standard regularity conditions. Together, our methods establish a practical and theoretically grounded framework for fully offline RL.
Reinforcement Learning (RL) has received increasing attention and adoption in real-world use cases. Most of these systems follow a train-then-fix paradigm, where trained agents do not learn while interacting with the world until performance degrades and retraining becomes necessary. In this position paper, we argue that deploying an agent that is incapable of optimality, but receives an evaluative reward signal, is inherently a continual RL problem. We identify four sources of non-stationarity after deployment that necessitate never-ending learning, and highlight why the best deployed agents never stop adapting. We analyze successful examples of continual RL in the real world, and present the community with the advantages and measures to move away from the current train-then-fix paradigm.