Green BOA: Determining the environmental break-even point for ML-based data compression

Any lossless compression algorithm (like gzip) may be converted into a machine learning method, via either Normalized Compression Distance or the Minimum Description Length principle. Any auto-regressive model may be converted into a lossless compression method via entropy coding. This seemingly circular dependence has unrealized potential in modern artificial intelligence and machine learning, and we survey and formalize the various strategies that have been used to leverage compression for machine learning. We introduce and empirically validate a design framework for compression-based ML, finding compression-based methods competitive with conventional baselines and decisively stronger on malware. We find that varying these design choices yields accuracy gains of up to 0.62.

Recent Machine Learning (ML) approaches have shown increased performance on benchmarks at the cost of escalating compute demands. Hardware, algorithmic and carbon optimizations have been proposed to curb energy use and environmental impacts. We estimate the environmental impacts associated with training models documented in the Epoch AI database over the last decade, with a particular focus on impacts associated with Large Language Models and the hardware used to train them. We find that energy use and environmental impacts associated with training ML models have increased exponentially, even when considering impact reduction strategies such as using less carbon intensive electricity mixes or more efficient hardware. Optimization strategies do not mitigate the impacts induced by model training, suggesting rebound effect. We show that the impacts of hardware must be considered over the entire life cycle rather than the sole use phase in order to avoid impact shifting. Our study demonstrates that increasing efficiency alone does not ensure sustainability. There is an urgent need to systematically integrate environmental impacts in NLP evaluation practices to better inform the community and support the use of impact as a feature in research planning and decision making.

Machine learning plays an increasingly vital role in engineering, but the corresponding increase in compute time is not without environmental cost. Physics-informed machine learning or "grey-box" models have been developed to overcome some of the limitations of traditional black-box learners, utilising the physical insight that an engineer would have about the structure they are modelling and have shown promising results in the structural engineering field among many others. This work explores whether an additional advantage could be a reduced environmental impact, considering the relationship between training data quantity and training time, linking this duration to carbon emissions from computing. In a structural health monitoring context, four physics-informed machine learning approaches - spanning Gaussian processes and neural networks - are evaluated: residual modelling, input augmentation, hybrid modelling, and constrained learning. The emissions for training each of the models to reach a given error threshold is compared, and in most examples, shown to be lower for the physics-informed models (with input augmented models being an exception). This reduction in training emissions further compounds the environmental savings achieved by collecting and storing less data. Although promising results, we cannot expect a silver bullet and the case studies demonstrate that a trade-off is needed between the increased complexity that comes from introducing physics into a machine learner, against the gain from reduced training data requirements.