Rank Reversal in Multilingual LLM Judges: A Label-Free Double-Centering Calibrator
Organizations: College of Science and Engineering, Hamad Bin Khalifa University, Doha, Qatar · Department of Computer and Electrical Engineering, Texas A&M University, College Station, TX, USA
Abstract
Multilingual LLM judges produce different evaluator-backbone rankings depending on the prompt language: on an eight-language Agent-as-a-Judge benchmark, the top-ranked backbone alternates across English, Arabic, Chinese, Hindi, Japanese, Spanish, Turkish, and Swahili, and 7 of 15 backbone pairs show statistically significant pairwise rank reversal. We treat this as a measurement problem. The multilingual judge score decomposes additively into task difficulty, backbone skill, and a language-backbone interaction term, the last of which is recoverable without human labels by double-centering the cell-mean score matrix. We make this estimator (Consensus-Based Calibration, CBC) explicit, give an finite-sample concentration bound with variance constant , and show that it is unbiased even when task-language interactions are present. Across 7{,}920 judge runs (6 backbones, 8 languages, 55 tasks, 3 frameworks), CBC raises held-out cross-task rank consistency from 0.650 to 0.902 and agrees with the held-out additive-model oracle in 100% of per-language decisions versus 68.5% raw; these are consistency diagnostics, not human-grounded correctness measures. On a separately collected M-RewardBench panel (7 languages, 1{,}500 items per language, 10{,}500 language-item instances, 5 evaluators), panel agreement with the public human gold preferences rises from 68.7% to 76.6% (gain 7.9 percentage points, 95% CI ), our strongest external evidence of downstream usefulness. The estimator is the standard two-way ANOVA interaction-recovery operation under sum-to-zero contrasts; our contribution is its application as a label-free post-hoc calibrator for multilingual LLM judges, an explicit finite-sample concentration bound, and an unbiasedness result that holds even under task-language misspecification.
Figures & tables
| Pair | ( ) | Adj. |
|---|---|---|
| GPT-4o vs. GPT-5.4 | 400.8 | |
| GPT-4o vs. Sonnet | 221.1 | 0.0019 |
| GPT-4o vs. Gemini | 312.0 | 0.0019 |
| GPT-4o vs. DeepSeek | 140.7 | 0.0031 |
| GPT-4o vs. Qwen | 0.0 | 1.000 |
| GPT-5.4 vs. Sonnet | 95.9 |
| Method | 95% CI | Full-fit ∗ | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Raw (no calib.) | 0.650 | [0.610, 0.714] | 0.629 |
| Per-language norm. | 0.650 | [0.610, 0.714] | 0.629 |
| ComBat-EB | 0.650 | [0.610, 0.714] | 0.629 |
| Z-score | 0.220 | [-0.038, 0.586] | -0.086 |
| Quantile norm. | -0.097 | [-0.119, -0.068] | -0.118 |
| Ensemble | 0.013 | [-0.086, 0.186] | -0.081 |
| Method | Oracle selection acc. | Regret |
|---|---|---|
| Raw | 68.5% [67.4, 69.5] | 3.23 [0.90, 5.82] |
| CBC | 100.0% [99.95, 100.0] | 0.00 [0.00, 0.00] |
| Method | 95% CI | Full-fit ∗ | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Raw (no calib.) | 0.430 | [0.371, 0.486] | 0.410 |
| Judge-aware BTL † | 0.405 | [0.352, 0.467] | 0.410 |
| CBC | 0.900 | [0.790, 1.000] | 1.000 ∗ |
| Method | Gold agree. | 95% CI |
|---|---|---|
| Raw panel mean margin | 68.7% | [65.4, 71.7] |
| CBC-aligned | 76.6% | [73.6, 79.3] |
Appendix figures & tables4 assets
Supplementary material from the paper’s appendix.
Appendix
| 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Rank | 0.901 | 0.907 | 0.900 | 0.898 | 0.911 |
| Std. | 0.206 | 0.105 | 0.075 | 0.044 | — |
| 10 | 20 | 30 | 40 | 55 | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Rank | 0.759 | 0.838 | 0.853 | 0.891 | 0.906 |
| Std. | 0.103 | 0.061 | 0.057 | 0.054 | 0.051 |
| Component | Calls | Input tokens | Output tokens | Est. cost |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 3-language extension (JA / ES / SW) | 19,710 | 25.68M | 6.64M | $54.93 |
| M-RewardBench 1,500-items-per-language panel | 105,000 | 52.06M | 9.85M | $195.30 |
Multilingual Language Model Evaluation
Multilingual Language Model Evaluation measures how reliably language models perform across languages, scripts, dialects, and cultural contexts.
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