Dimensionless Controls of Plasticity Under Alternating Tasks: From Evolutionary Biology to Continual Learning

Continual learning in artificial neural networks is fundamentally limited by the stability--plasticity dilemma: systems that retain prior knowledge tend to resist acquiring new knowledge, and vice versa. Existing approaches, most notably elastic weight consolidation~(EWC), address this empirically without a physical account of why plasticity eventually collapses as tasks accumulate. Separately, the distinction between sudden insight and gradual skill acquisition through repetitive practice has lacked a unified theoretical description. Here, we show that both problems admit a common resolution within non-equilibrium statistical physics. We model the state of a learning system as a particle evolving under Langevin dynamics on a double-well energy landscape, with the noise amplitude governed by a time-dependent effective temperature $T(t)$. The probability density obeys a Fokker--Planck equation, and transitions between metastable states are governed by the Kramers escape rate $k = (ω_0ω_b/2π)\,e^{-ΔE/T}$. We make two contributions. First, we identify the EWC penalty term as an energy barrier whose height grows linearly with the number of accumulated tasks, yielding an exponential collapse of the transition rate predicted analytically and confirmed numerically. Second, we show that insight and repetitive learning correspond to two qualitatively distinct temperature protocols within the same Fokker--Planck equation: insight events produce transient spikes in $T(t)$ that drive rapid barrier crossing, whereas repetitive practice operates at a modestly elevated but fixed temperature, achieving transitions through sustained stochastic diffusion. These results establish a physically grounded framework for understanding plasticity and its failure in continual learning systems, and suggest principled design criteria for adaptive noise schedules in artificial intelligence.

Deep continual learning requires models to adapt to new tasks without retraining from scratch. However, neural networks can lose their ability to adapt to new tasks after training on previous ones, a phenomenon known as loss of plasticity. There have been several explanations and diagnostics proposed for plasticity loss. Motivated by the philosophy that "all models are wrong, but some are useful", we ask: can existing diagnostics predict a neural network's plasticity? In this work, we take a practical view to interpret plasticity as trainability, i.e., a neural network's future optimization gain on a target task. We first take a theoretical approach, showing, by constructing a few counterexamples, that some widely adopted diagnostics of plasticity, including representation rank and neural tangent kernel rank, can fail to predict the loss of trainability in both regression and classification settings. We instead propose a novel metric, called optimization readiness, which combines gradient strength and gradient reliability. We prove that optimization readiness lower bounds one-step optimization gain under standard smoothness assumptions, providing a theoretical guarantee for its predictive power. Empirically, we show that across commonly used deep continual learning settings, such as Slowly-Changing Regression and Permuted MNIST, optimization readiness more reliably ranks checkpoints by trainability than prior diagnostics, even with substantially fewer samples.

In continual reinforcement learning, carefully managing the stability-plasticity tradeoff remains a core challenge. Recent work by Abel et al. (2025) formalized this dilemma by defining plasticity as the generalized directed information from an agent's observations to its actions, and empowerment as the generalized directed information from its actions to its observations. This formulation successfully reframes the traditional stability-plasticity tradeoff as an empowerment-plasticity tradeoff. However, while extensive literature exists on optimizing for empowerment, there is currently no research addressing the optimization of plasticity under this new definition. This paper presents preliminary work toward optimizing plasticity within Markov decision processes. We show that there exists a Bellman optimality equation for optimizing plasticity similar to previous work for empowerment.