Deep Learning Super Resolution for Satellite Cloud Mask Downscaling

High-resolution satellite imagery is critical for observing fine-scale cloud structures that inform weather modification strategies like cloud seeding for rain-enhancement. However, the spatial resolution of current geostationary and polar-orbiting satellites is often insufficient for capturing small cloud features. Current super-resolution methodologies are suited for natural images and, therefore, struggle to generalize to satellite-captured spectral images of cloud cover. To address this, we propose a two-stage diffusion-based super-resolution framework to enhance the resolution of multi-spectral cloud microstructures by a factor of $4\times$. Specifically, we use inverse diffusion to recover the high resolution properties from low resolution. Stage 1 utilizes real-world paired data to learn robust degradation handling and inter-sensor alignment, while Stage 2 employs a self-supervised internal downgrading of high resolution data to refine structural learning and texture synthesis. Our approach outperforms the state-of-the-art transformer and diffusion-based baselines in both reconstruction accuracy and visual quality. We demonstrate that the two-stage method better captures fine cloud microstructures (e.g. convective turrets and cloud gaps) that are crucial for effective cloud seeding decisions. Ablation studies confirm the complementary benefits of the two stages: Stage 1 excels in coarse structural fidelity, while Stage 2 contributes enhanced detail and realism. These results highlight a practical path toward improving cloud microphysics analysis and as a step towards utilizing AI for climate and sustainability. Our code and models are publicly available at: https://github.com/hananshafi/superresolution-cloud-microphysics.

Super-resolution (SR) techniques have made major advances in reconstructing high-resolution images from low-resolution inputs. The increased resolution provides visual enhancement and utility for monitoring tasks. In particular, SR has been increasingly developed for satellite-based Earth observation, with applications in urban planning, agriculture, ecology, and disaster response. However, existing SR studies and benchmarks typically use fidelity metrics such as PSNR or SSIM, whereas the true utility of super-resolved images lies in supporting downstream tasks such as land cover classification, biomass estimation, and change detection. To bridge this gap, we introduce GeoSR-Bench, a downstream task-integrated SR benchmark dataset to evaluate SR models beyond fidelity metrics. GeoSR-Bench comprises spatially co-located, temporally aligned, and quality-controlled image pairs from about 36,000 locations across diverse land covers, spanning resolutions from 500m to 0.6m. To the best of our knowledge, GeoSR-Bench is the first SR benchmark that directly connects improved image resolution from SR models with downstream Earth monitoring tasks, including land cover segmentation, infrastructure mapping, and biophysical variable estimation. Using GeoSR-Bench, we benchmark GAN, transformer, neural operator, and diffusion-based SR models on perceptual quality and downstream task performance. We conduct experiments with 270 settings, covering 2 cross-platform SR tasks, 9 SR models, 3 downstream task models, and 5 downstream tasks for each SR task. The results show that improvements in traditional SR metrics often do not correlate with gains in task performance, and the correlations can be negative, indicating that these metrics provide limited guidance for selecting superior models for downstream tasks. This reveals the need to integrate downstream tasks into SR model development and evaluation.

Developing robust techniques for super-resolution of satellite imagery involves navigating commonly observed trade-offs between spectral fidelity and perceptual quality. In this work, we introduce a flow matching model for 4x super-resolution of 10-m Sentinel-2 visible and near-infrared bands over the conterminous United States (CONUS) using a dataset of 120,851 10-m Sentinel-2 and 2.5-m resampled NAIP imagery pairs acquired on the same day. Our results showed that the flow matching model outperformed diffusion and Real-ESRGAN models in pixel-wise accuracy in a single sampling step using the Euler method. When evaluated with a second-order Midpoint solver, our model generated perceptually realistic super-resolved imagery in only 20 sampling steps, effectively navigating the perception-distortion trade-off at inference time without retraining. We used this model to produce a super-resolved 2.5-m 4-band CONUS imagery product derived from 2025 10-m Sentinel-2 annual composites, consisting of over 1.58 trillion pixels. We further evaluated the use of super-resolved data on a land cover classification task using semantic segmentation models. Finally, we generated a yearly 2.5-m land cover product for the Chesapeake Bay watershed for 2020-2025. An accuracy assessment against 25,000 ground truth points revealed an overall accuracy of 89.11% for the annual land cover product. We conclude that flow matching is an effective generative modeling approach for super-resolution of Sentinel-2 imagery compared to diffusion and Generative Adversarial Network-based methods, and has strong implications for expanding access to high-resolution imagery for geospatial applications that demand fine spatial detail.