Estimating Semantic Ambiguity via Gaussian Context Distributions for VLM-Driven Traversability Analysis
Authors: Ramona Häuselmann, Mario A. V. Saucedo, Christoforos Kanellakis, George Nikolakopoulos
Abstract
Autonomous navigation in unstructured environments requires robust scene understanding, yet Vision-Language Models (VLMs) often suffer from semantic ambiguity, where conflicting predictions can lead to dangerous failures. To address this, we present a novel pipeline for vision-based traversability estimation that explicitly models contextual uncertainty. Our approach utilizes Conceptual Anchoring to ground open-vocabulary VLM predictions onto a continuous physical traversability scale. By formulating the model's responses as a Gaussian Context Distribution (GCD), we derive both a dense traversability map and a dense uncertainty map based on the statistical properties of the distribution. Experimental validation on the real-world GOOSE dataset demonstrates that our proposed uncertainty metric effectively correlates with sources of ambiguity, such as visual artifacts and mixed terrain overlap. The method exhibits competitive performance while offering the distinct advantage of providing statistical uncertainty estimates to address semantic ambiguity, enabling safer and more reliable autonomous behavior in complex outdoor settings.
Vision-based approaches have become the dominant paradigm for traversability estimation in unstructured outdoor environments, typically adapting vision foundation models (VFMs) via semantic segmentation supervision. However, this paradigm faces three fundamental challenges that undermine its reliability: the task-agnostic design of VFMs, the ambiguity of traversability annotations, and the discrepancy between semantic labels and physical safety. We propose Vision-to-Traversability Adaptation (ViTA), a framework that adapts VFMs for reliable traversability estimation, instantiated on SAM2. ViTA injects task-specific knowledge through learnable traversability prompts while preserving the VFM's cross-domain generalization. To handle annotation ambiguity, we introduce Perspective-Diversified Training, which estimates semantic uncertainty to suppress confident predictions at ambiguous boundaries. To bridge the semantic-traversability discrepancy, we distill geometric knowledge during training, enabling slope and elevation reasoning from RGB images alone at inference. The semantic and geometric outputs are fused into a continuous traversability score that reflects both semantic uncertainty and geometric risk. Evaluations across diverse domains, including challenging real-world off-road datasets, demonstrate that ViTA achieves state-of-the-art IoU and Precision with substantial false-positive reduction and strong cross-domain generalization.
Vision-Language Navigation (VLN) requires an agent to navigate 3D environments following natural language instructions. During navigation, existing agents commonly encounter perceptual uncertainty, such as insufficient evidence for reliable grounding or ambiguity in interpreting spatial cues, yet they typically ignore such information when predicting actions. In this work, we explicitly model three forms of perceptual uncertainty (i.e., geometric, semantic, and appearance uncertainty) and integrate them into the agent's observation space to enable informed decision-making. Concretely, our agent first constructs a Semantic Gaussian Map (SGM), composed of differentiable 3D Gaussian primitives initialized from panoramic observations, that encodes both the geometric structure and semantic content of the environment. On top of SGM, geometric uncertainty is estimated through variational perturbations of Gaussian position and scale to assess structural reliability; semantic uncertainty is captured by perturbing Gaussian semantic attributes to reveal ambiguous interpretations; and appearance uncertainty is characterized by Fisher Information, which measures the sensitivity of rendered observations to Gaussian-level variations. These uncertainties are incorporated into SGM, extending it into a unified 3D Value Map, which grounds them as affordances and constraints that support reliable navigation. Comprehensive evaluations across multiple VLN benchmarks show the effectiveness of our agent.
Vision-language models can produce confident answers on visually ambiguous inputs, resulting in biased predictions. Common entropy-based methods, such as Semantic Entropy (SE), rely on output diversity. Yet our analysis shows that overconfident visual embeddings suppress output diversity under stochastic decoding, causing SE to underestimate uncertainty in such cases. Recent methods instead probe output diversity through input perturbations, including textual paraphrasing or joint text-image perturbations, and show improved performance. We study these approaches and reveals that the resulting variability is often dominated by textual changes rather than visual evidence, causing uncertainty estimates to reflect prompt sensitivity rather than visual ambiguity. We therefore propose Visual Semantic Entropy (VSE), which perturbs only the image to probe nearby visual variations while keeping the text query fixed. VSE measures uncertainty by clustering generated answers into semantic prototypes and computing the mass-weighted dispersion among them. Extensive evaluation across five modern vision-language models and five diverse VQA benchmarks demonstrates that VSE effectively captures visual ambiguity, establishing a new state-of-the-art for VLM uncertainty estimation.