ForeSight: Enhancing Risk Monitoring via Early Safety Signal Distillation

Large language models (LLMs) can produce harmful content while generating a response. A useful safeguard should not only detect this risk during generation but also intervene while leaving safe responses largely unchanged and provide an auditable record of the internal patterns supporting its decisions. We propose TRACE (Temporal Risk Assessment and Concept Editing), a framework that tracks harmful-response risk during generation, selectively edits token activations, and leaves an auditable trace of its detection and steering decisions. TRACE learns a codebook of recurring activation patterns, with each codebook vector representing a latent concept. At inference time, it assigns each token activation to the nearest codebook vector to obtain the corresponding concept. A gated recurrent unit (GRU) processes the activations and their assigned concept features to predict completed-response harmfulness and a monotone cumulative streaming risk. During steering, activations assigned to harmful concepts are steered along directions defined by nearby benign targets. An external LLM labels the learned concepts post hoc, making detection sequences and harmful-to-benign edit records interpretable. Experiments across three generators and the WildGuard and S-Eval benchmarks show that TRACE improves streaming F1 over Kelp in five of six comparisons while remaining competitive on completed-response detection. TRACE's selective steering reduces Harmbench attack success with little change in refusal on originally safe responses. The post-hoc audit reveals recurring semantic structure in the learned concepts and distinct traces associated with harmful detection, safe generation, and activation edits.

Autonomous systems increasingly rely on Large Language Models (LLMs) yet the safety infrastructure surrounding these models introduces latency and compute overhead. This limits utility in resource-constrained, time-critical deployments. Existing external guardrail models remain blind to the model's internal workings, creating a fundamental assurance gap. We ask: does the model already know when the content is harmful? We extract activations from LLaMA-3.1-8B and train lightweight MLP classifier probes (12.6M parameters) to detect harmful prompts. Evaluated on WildJailbreak, Beavertails, and AEGIS 2.0, our probes achieve F1 scores of 99%, 83%, and 84%, respectively competitive with 1000x larger guard models while cutting latency and compute costs.

Recent research on Large Language Model (LLM) safety has widely adopted guardrails to identify unsafe LLM outputs. Existing guardrails typically formulate safety assessment as a deterministic classification task, mapping a discrete token sequence to a discrete safety label. However, this paradigm has two limitations: First, safety assessment is inherently an uncertain problem, particularly during the early generation state. Second, relying solely on discrete token sequences discards the rich probabilistic information embedded in the LLM output distribution. To address these limitations, we propose the first completely probabilistic architecture-agnostic guardrail ProbGuard to leverage the LLM early output distributional signals for estimating and calibrating the safety probability, thereby enabling early stopping of unsafe ongoing outputs. Specifically, given an LLM's generated prefix distribution, we formulate the safety risk as the unsafe probability of its continued generation dynamics and estimate this risk by Monte-Carlo sampling. Through post-training on the distributional signals and calibrated safety risk, ProbGuard achieves the best calibration performance across all nine model--dataset combination settings, reducing the average Brier score and ECE by 79.6% and 71.9%, respectively, over the best baseline. ProbGuard further limits the attack success rate to at most 1% across six representative jailbreak attacks after observing the LLM early output distributions from only the first ten decoding steps.