PotARCin: Multi-Dimensional Evaluation of Skill Acquisition in Abstract Reasoning Tasks

The Abstraction and Reasoning Corpus (ARC-AGI) has become a key benchmark for fluid intelligence in AI. This survey presents the first cross-generation analysis of 82 approaches across three benchmark versions and the ARC Prize 2024-2025 competitions. Our central finding is that performance degradation across versions is consistent across all paradigms: program synthesis, neuro-symbolic, and neural approaches all exhibit 2-3x drops from ARC-AGI-1 to ARC-AGI-2, indicating fundamental limitations in compositional generalization. While systems now reach 93.0% on ARC-AGI-1 (Opus 4.6), performance falls to 68.8% on ARC-AGI-2 and 13% on ARC-AGI-3, as humans maintain near-perfect accuracy across all versions. Cost fell 390x in one year (o3's $4,500/task to GPT-5.2's$12/task), although this largely reflects reduced test-time parallelism. Trillion-scale models vary widely in score and cost, while Kaggle-constrained entries (660M-8B) achieve competitive results, aligning with Chollet's thesis that intelligence is skill-acquisition efficiency. Test-time adaptation and refinement loops emerge as critical success factors, while compositional reasoning and interactive learning remain unsolved. ARC Prize 2025 winners needed hundreds of thousands of synthetic examples to reach 24% on ARC-AGI-2, confirming that reasoning remains knowledge-bound. This first release of the ARC-AGI Living Survey captures the field as of February 2026, with updates at https://nimi-ai.com/arc-survey/

Endpoint accuracy on abstract-reasoning benchmarks does not reveal whether a language model has acquired a transferable rule or fit distribution-specific regularities. We study this distinction in small language models on the ARC-TGI benchmark, which organizes abstract grid transformations into controllable task families and supports resampling, spatial shifts, and cross-benchmark transfer. Across more than 1,000 runs, we profile decoder-only, encoder--decoder, and mixture-of-experts model families under supervised fine-tuning. We examine the efficiency and stability of skill acquisition, robustness beyond the training distribution, interactions with model family and task formulation, and layer-wise attention signatures that accompany behavioral differences. Substantial in-distribution accuracy is attainable, but acquisition is sensitive to optimization and unevenly distributed across task families. Performance deteriorates sharply outside the training distribution, including when the rule is retained but grid scale changes. Greater training-set depth and breadth yield uneven gains, while the effect of additional in-context examples depends on model family. Executable-rule induction also yields correct solutions not observed under direct grid generation. On selected tasks, attention diagnostics show distinct concentration and context-dependence profiles, but do not establish general causal mechanisms. Overall, abstract-reasoning scores are conditional on the model, adaptation regime, evaluation distribution, and response format.

Relational reasoning lies at the heart of intelligence, but existing benchmarks are typically confined to formats such as grids or text. We introduce GraphARC, a benchmark for abstract reasoning on graph-structured data. GraphARC generalizes the few-shot transformation learning paradigm of the Abstraction and Reasoning Corpus (ARC). Each task requires inferring a transformation rule from a few input-output pairs and applying it to a new test graph, covering local, global, and hierarchical graph transformations. Unlike grid-based ARC, GraphARC instances can be generated at scale across diverse graph families and sizes, enabling systematic evaluation of generalization abilities. We evaluate state-of-the-art language models on GraphARC and observe clear limitations. Models can answer questions about graph properties but often fail to solve the full graph transformation task, revealing a comprehension-execution gap. Performance further degrades on larger instances, exposing scaling barriers. More broadly, by combining aspects of node classification, link prediction, and graph generation within a single framework, GraphARC provides a promising testbed for future graph foundation models.