CalibHyper: Chance-Corrected Relational Hypergraphs for Few-Shot Molecular Property Prediction

Machine learning is transforming molecular sciences by accelerating property prediction, simulation, and the discovery of new molecules and materials. Acquiring labeled data in these domains is often costly and time-consuming, whereas large collections of unlabeled molecular data are readily available. Standard semi-supervised learning methods often rely on label-preserving augmentations, which are challenging to design in the molecular domain, where minor changes can drastically alter properties. In this work, we show that semi-supervised methods that rely on an ensemble consensus can boost predictive accuracy across a diverse range of molecular datasets, task types, and graph neural network architectures. We find that training with an ensemble consensus objective increases robustness in models and exhibits an effect similar to knowledge distillation; an individual member of an ensemble trained this way outperforms a full ensemble trained in a traditional supervised fashion in almost all cases. In addition, this type of semi-supervised training reduces calibration error.

Motivation: Noisy labels are a common challenge in molecular property prediction because molecular annotations are often obtained from assays, curated databases, or weak annotation pipelines rather than directly observed clean biological states. Treating recorded labels as reliable supervision can cause models to memorize corrupted observations and learn misleading molecular evidence. In multimodal molecular representation learning, this issue can be amplified by graph-text fusion or alignment, which may propagate label-induced errors across modalities. Results: We propose MOLAR, a noise-aware framework for learning multimodal molecular representations from noisy labels. MOLAR separates latent clean-property inference from recorded-label observation: graph and text views contribute residual evidence to a clean-property distribution, and a categorical label-observation channel maps this distribution to recorded labels for training. This formulation derives posterior label reliability and modality-specific molecular evidence from the model. Experiments on naturally noisy molecular benchmarks and controlled label-flipping benchmarks show that MOLAR consistently outperforms representative baselines. Visualization analyses further show that MOLAR provides interpretable reliability and modality-evidence diagnostics.

Accurate molecular property prediction requires both statistical reliability and chemical reasoning. Graph neural networks can be calibrated directly on labeled assays but remain limited by the coverage of their training data. Large language models (LLMs) can compare molecular evidence and articulate chemical rationales, yet are unreliable as standalone quantitative predictors. The central challenge is therefore to determine when an LLM should influence a calibrated model and by how much. Here we present CoMPASS, a retrieval-calibrated framework for small-large model collaboration. CoMPASS retains a graph attention network (GAT) as the predictive anchor, retrieves locally relevant training molecules, provides attention-grounded evidence to an LLM, and converts its proposal into a bounded correction through an agreement-aware gate. Across six classification and two regression benchmarks, CoMPASS improves the GAT anchor in regions of correctable uncertainty while limiting LLM intervention in high-confidence regimes. Ablations show that the gains arise from validation-calibrated retrieval and bounded fusion rather than prompting alone. These results suggest that generative reasoning should augment calibrated prediction through evidence-grounded, controlled corrections rather than direct output replacement. Code is available at https://github.com/littlepeachs/CoMPASS.