Should I stay or should I show? Learning to selectively disclose information
Authors: Carlotta Giacchetta, Alessando Bogani, Cesare Barbera, Giovanni De Toni, Michele Caprio, Andrea Pugnana, Andrea Passerini
Organizations: University of Trento, Trento, Italy · University of Pisa, Pisa, Italy · ETH AI Center & ETH, Zürich, Switzerland · University of Warwick, Coventry, UK
In many high-stakes settings, human decision-makers can acquire support information before making a decision. However, acquiring information is costly, and disclosure may fail to improve human decisions or may even impair them. We tackle this problem by studying selective disclosure, i.e., the problem of learning when to reveal support information to a human decision-maker under a budget constraint. We first show that the optimal policy is a threshold rule on the Value of Information (VoI), i.e., the expected reduction in human decision risk induced by disclosure. Since VoI is unknown in practice, we estimate the regime-specific human risks and bound the possible degradation of the resulting plug-in policy relative to lack of disclosure, as well as its regret relative to the optimal policy. Experiments on benchmark datasets show that selective disclosure outperforms both no disclosure and full disclosure, regardless of whether the support information is beneficial or harmful. Two user studies show that human-AI team performance can improve when disclosure is led by our learned policy and not human-selected, although this advantage varies across tasks. A counterfactual benchmark, which replaces participants' predictions with a machine-learning prediction when disclosure occurs, suggests that these differences might depend on lower adherence to advice when the information is automatically provided rather than self-requested.
Figures & tables
Figure 1: LSD pipeline . For each case xi , a disclosure policy d:X→{0,1} decides when to disclose support information S to a human expert H . If no support information is disclosed ( d(xi)=0 ), a human expert makes a decision using only baseline features. When support information is disclosed ( d(xi)=1 ), a human expert uses both baseline and support information.
Figure 2: Budget-accuracy curves for the four considered datasets. We report average mean values and 95% confidence intervals over five seeds.
Figure 3: User studies results ( Q2 and Q3 ). (a) Participants’ accuracy ( Acc ) and (b) adherence ( Adh ) on the AI advice, by Budget (LB/HB) and Support (HP/MP/MPCFT) condition, on Email (left) and ImageNet-16H (right). Error bars are 95% confidence intervals across participants.
Appendix figures & tables18 assets
Supplementary material from the paper’s appendix.
Appendix
Model
Epochs
Optimizer
LR
Dropout
Weight decay
ClassWise
50
Adam
2×10−4
0.3
10−3
T-Learner
25
AdamW
2×10−4
0.1
10−3
S-Learner
25
Adam
1×10−4
0.1
10−2
Confidence
100
AdamW
2×10−4
0.3
10−3
Appendix
Table 1: Selected hyperparameters for the Email risk models.
Figure 4: Geometric augmentations applied to the ImageNet-16H images at training time, shown here for one image of the cat category at the highest phase-noise level ( 110 ). Each panel corresponds to one of the 14 operations in the augmentation pool: the identity ( original ), horizontal and vertical flips, rotations of 15∘ , 30∘ and 45∘ , translations along the four directions, and positive/negative shears along the x and y axes.
α
Model
Epochs
Optimizer
LR
Dropout
Weight decay
0.01
T-Learner
25
AdamW
2×10−4
0.1
10−3
ClassWise
25
AdamW
1×10−4
0.3
10−2
S-Learner
25
AdamW
2×10−4
0.1
10−3
Confidence
25
Adam
1×10−4
0.3
10−2
0.02
T-Learner
25
AdamW
2×10−4
0.1
10−3
ClassWise
25
AdamW
1×10−4
0.1
10−3
Appendix
Table 2: Selected hyperparameters for the ImageNet-16H risk models, per conformal miscoverage level α .
Budget
support information
Usefulness of assistance
Ground truth
Low (30%)
High (70%)
ImageNet-16H
20-item sample characteristics
Not provided
Not useful
—
12 (62.2%)
6 (29.0%)
Provided
Not useful
—
4 (24.9%)
12 (58.1%)
Not provided
Useful
—
2 (4.6%)
0 (0.4%)
Appendix
Table 3: Stratification of the 20-item samples used in Experiments 1 and 2.
Figure 5: (a) and (b) : Interfaces presented to participants in the HP conditions in the Email and ImageNet-16H tasks, respectively; (c) : Messages shown when information was requested (HP) or provided by the ClassWise policy (MP); (d) : Messages shown when, in MP, the ClassWise policy determined information should not be provided for that item.
Past experience with AI
Experimental condition
n participants
Age
% Female
Option 1
Option 2
Option 3
Option 4
ImageNet-16H
Human Policy/Low Budget
66
43.21±14.05
52%
5%
67%
29%
0%
Human Policy/High Budget
69
42.06±12.39
48%
3%
46%
49%
1%
Machine Policy/Low Budget
69
42.30±12.23
48%
6%
54%
41%
0%
Machine Policy/High Budget
69
41.71±13.52
42%
1%
65%
28%
6%
Appendix
Table 4: Participant characteristics by experimental condition.
Figure 6: Budget-accuracy curves for VoI-based disclosure policies on Synth ( SynthBin , SynthMulti ) and real ( Email , ImageNet-16H ) data. We report average mean values for 5 seeds and 95% confidence intervals.
Figure 7: Fraction of instances on which the policy requests help, as a function of the nominal budget, for S-Learner , T-Learner and ClassWise (mean over 5 seeds, with 95% confidence intervals). The dashed line is spent=budget . A curve plateaus below the diagonal when the estimated positive-VoI set is smaller than the budget, and the height of the plateau is the fraction of instances the estimator deems worth disclosing.
Descriptive statistics
ImageNet-16H
Email
Support condition
Budget condition
Accuracy
Accuracy
Human Policy
Low Budget
0.73±0.15
0.82±0.13
Human Policy
High Budget
0.81±0.11
0.84±0.13
Machine Policy
Low Budget
0.75±0.11
0.81±0.12
Machine Policy
High Budget
0.84±0.09
0.84±0.12
Appendix
Table 5: Descriptive statistics (means and standard deviations) and results of the logistic mixed-effects regressions predicting classification accuracy from Support , Budget , and their interaction (OR: odds ratio).
Figure 8: Participants’ average accuracy by experimental condition and correctness of support information. Ratios indicate the number of correct participant responses out of the total number of observations in each subgroup.
Descriptive statistics
ImageNet-16H
Email
Support
Budget
Information
Incorrect
Correct
Incorrect
Correct
Human Policy
Low Budget
Not received
4.22±1.45
6.30±0.67
5.20±1.29
5.56±0.99
Human Policy
Low Budget
Received
3.24±1.49
4.58±1.45
5.32±1.30
5.67±0.98
Human Policy
High Budget
Not received
4.74±1.60
6.45±0.50
5.24±1.28
5.69±0.89
Human Policy
High Budget
Received
3.08±1.46
4.75±1.48
5.00±1.31
5.42±1.19
Appendix
Table 6: Descriptive statistics and results of the linear mixed-effects models predicting confidence ratings from Support , Budget , presence of information, classification accuracy, and their interactions. Descriptive statistics represent participant-level means ± standard deviations. Post-hoc contrasts compare confidence discrimination, defined as the difference in confidence between correct and incorrect classifications (post-hoc contrasts are reported only for significant effects involving classification accuracy; dashes indicate that no post-hoc contrast was conducted because the corresponding effect was not significant)
Study
Budget
Requested assistance
MP assistance
95% CI
t
df
p
ImageNet-16H
Low
3.73±2.12
6
[3.21, 4.25]
−8.70
65
<.001
ImageNet-16H
High
5.99±3.20
14
[5.22, 6.75]
−20.82
68
<.001
Email
Low
3.93±1.97
5
[3.47, 4.39]
−4.60
71
<.001
Email
High
6.41±4.63
9
[5.25, 7.56]
−4.48
63
<.001
Appendix
Table 7: Number of assistance requests made by participants in the Human-Policy condition compared with the number of trials on which assistance was provided in the corresponding Machine-Policy condition. Requested assistance is reported as mean ± standard deviation. Confidence intervals and t tests refer to one-sample tests comparing the observed number of requests with the number of assistance opportunities provided in the corresponding MP condition.
Descriptive statistics
ImageNet-16H
Email
Support condition
Budget condition
Proportion of agreement with support information
Proportion of agreement with support information
Human Policy
Low Budget
0.92±0.24
0.96±0.17
Human Policy
High Budget
0.94±0.13
0.95±0.12
Machine Policy
Low Budget
0.91±0.12
0.81±0.17
Machine Policy
High Budget
0.92±0.10
0.89±0.14
Appendix
Table 8: Descriptive statistics and results of the logistic mixed-effects regressions predicting participants’ agreement with the support information from Support , Budget , and their interaction (OR: odds ratio).
Descriptive statistics
ImageNet-16H
Email
Support condition
Budget condition
Trust index
Trust index
Human Policy
Low Budget
2.67±0.72
3.40±0.70
Human Policy
High Budget
3.12±0.71
3.23±0.70
Machine Policy
Low Budget
2.98±0.75
2.95±0.81
Machine Policy
High Budget
3.14±0.69
3.15±0.82
Appendix
Table 9: Descriptive statistics and results of the linear models predicting trust index values from Support , Budget , and their interaction. Descriptive statistics represent means ± standard deviations. Post-hoc comparisons for the Email study are Bonferroni-corrected for six comparisons.
Descriptive statistics
ImageNet-16H
Email
Support condition
Accuracy
Accuracy
Human Policy
0.77±0.13
0.83±0.13
Machine Policy
0.80±0.11
0.82±0.12
Machine Policy – Counterfactual benchmark
0.82±0.11
0.85±0.10
Appendix
Table 10: Descriptive statistics and results of the logistic mixed-effects regressions comparing observed accuracy in HP and MP with counterfactual accuracy under full advice adherence on automatically disclosed support information (MPCFT). Descriptive statistics represent participant-level means ± standard deviations. Post-hoc comparisons are averaged across budget conditions and Bonferroni-corrected for three comparisons ( OR : odds ratio).
Set size ∣C(x)∣
Summary
α
1
2
3
4
5
6
7
8
9
10
11
12
13
14
15
16
Mean
Sing.%
0.01
664
92
32
9
10
3
1
1
–
1
–
–
–
–
–
387
6.05
55.3
0.02
735
148
54
31
16
13
9
8
4
4
2
1
–
5
1
169
3.75
61.3
0.05
804
200
99
55
24
13
3
–
–
–
–
–
–
–
–
2
1.64
67.0
Appendix
Table 11: Distribution of conformal prediction set sizes on the ImageNet-16H dataset ( n=1200 images, ∣Y∣=16 classes) for the three miscoverage levels α considered in our experiments. Smaller α enforces higher coverage and thus yields larger sets; note in particular the mass on the full set ( ∣C(x)∣=16 ), which carries no information for the decision-maker. Dashes denote empty bins.
Figure 9: Budget–accuracy curves on the ImageNet-16H dataset for the two additional miscoverage levels α∈{0.01,0.02} . As α decreases the prediction sets grow larger and less informative, lowering the average benefit of full disclosure ( FullDisc ≈80.5% against 85.5% at α=0.05 ).
Figure 10: Prediction-set sizes disclosed by the ClassWise policy on ImageNet-16H , at α∈{0.05,0.02,0.01} . For each set size, the curves show the share of the test set that the policy discloses at budgets B∈{0.1,0.4,0.7} (mean over 5 seeds, with 95% confidence intervals). The dashed line ( FullDisc ) is the share of the test set with that set size, i.e., what full disclosure would reveal, so the gap between a curve and the dashed line gives the instances of that size the policy withholds.
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Alex Smolin, Takuro Yamashita
Toulouse School of Economics, University of Toulouse Capitole and CEPR · Osaka University