Isotropic Yet Undecodable: The Sequential Content-Sufficiency Gap in Latent-Predictive Text Representations

Joint-Embedding Predictive Architectures (JEPAs) are effective for images, video, and audio, yet deterministic JEPA-style latent prediction has not become a standard objective for text encoders. We argue that this gap reflects a mismatch between squared-error latent prediction and the conditional structure of language. The key requirement is conditional concentration: given a context and target location, the target representation should lie near a single meaningful point. Local image prediction often satisfies this through spatial continuity, whereas masked text can admit multiple valid token or span completions whose representations need not share a coherent center. We formalize this mismatch through three conditions---predictability, non-collapse, and low conditional variance---and show how their failure creates centroid degeneracy and collapse pressure in text. Matched I-JEPA and T-JEPA experiments reveal the predicted sequence: mutual-information saturation and elevated target variance precede train--validation instability, effective-rank degeneration, cosine collapse, and poor downstream transfer. The same pattern appears across five independent data seeds, indicating that it is not a sampling artifact. These results do not rule out predictive learning for language; they show that text-compatible JEPA objectives must preserve multiple plausible completions rather than compress them into a single latent point.

Adaptive latent tokenization maps a fine-grained input to a shorter sequence of continuous representations associated with input-dependent spans. We introduce ReconSpan, which divides text into chunks that a backward decoder can reconstruct from a single contextual prefix code and retains one such code as the latent token for each chunk. The reconstruction criterion is applied when chunks are formed, allowing one trained autoencoder to produce average chunk lengths from 6.5 to 12.2. At matched average length, reconstruction-guided boundaries preserve more text than random boundaries. Readers of the resulting latent sequence recover topic information reliably but struggle to extract exact details.

Token prediction is a central pre-training objective for modern language models. Despite its empirical success, why token prediction learns broadly useful representations remains incompletely understood. We develop a statistical framework connecting token prediction with representation geometry, encoder approximation, and downstream performance. Under a softmax prediction head, we show that accurate token prediction organizes token embeddings according to similarities between the distributions of contexts in which different token types appear, as measured by Hellinger distance, with explicit errors governed by prediction accuracy and token frequency. Meanwhile, the contextual representation provides a low-dimensional coordinate for the conditional distribution of the target token relative to these embeddings. We further introduce a self-consistency principle showing that repeated applications of a shared representation block can progressively refine the contextual representation without introducing additional block parameters. Among representations with the same prediction accuracy, this recurrent construction favors those that can be stably reconstructed from their contexts. Finally, we establish downstream guarantees for token generation, token community recovery, and classification by a linear probe, showing how prediction accuracy and recovered geometry translate into performance beyond the pre-training objective. Together, these results explain how the simple objective of predicting tokens can recover semantic geometry and produce broadly useful representations. A controlled simulation illustrates the theoretical mechanisms.