TICDA: Tabular In-Context Data Attribution

Tabular foundation models perform in-context learning (ICL) by conditioning predictions on labeled training examples provided as context. Unlike traditional models that separate training from inference, these models must process all training examples in every forward pass, making each prediction expensive. Restricting the number of training examples reduces this cost but substantially degrades performance. Instead of discarding context, we propose activation alignment, a method that leverages the full context to teach a model how to behave when seeing only a subset. This is achieved by training a lightweight linear transformation on synthetic unlabeled data to map the intermediate activations of a data-constrained "student" (using partial context) toward those of a full-context "teacher" (using all data). Training the aligner requires no GPU and converges in seconds to minutes on commodity hardware. We evaluate on 38 classification datasets from the TabArena benchmark using the leading two tabular foundation models, TabPFN-3 and TabFM. Across all context budgets, the aligned student yields broad, statistically significant improvements over the unaligned baseline for both models. In low-data regimes, alignment recovers nearly half of the teacher's predictive advantage. The method provides a practical, low-overhead approach to achieving the inference speed of compact contexts while closing a significant fraction of the performance gap to the full-context teacher.

Training Data Attribution (TDA) seeks to trace a model's predictions back to its training data. The gold standard for TDA relies on causal interventions, observing how a model changes when data is added or removed, but repeated retraining is computationally challenging for Large Language Models (LLMs). Consequently, most approaches approximate this effect in the parameter space using gradients. However, tracking gradients across billions of parameters is not only prohibitively expensive but relies on local approximations. In this work, we propose a shift: rather than estimating parameter changes, we model the functional effect of training data in the activation space. We introduce STRIDE (Steering-based Training Data Influence Decomposition), a framework that formulates TDA as a sparse recovery problem in the spirit of compressive sensing. STRIDE learns lightweight "steering operators" that mimic the behavioral shift caused by training on data subsets. By measuring how these operators perturb test predictions, we recover individual training example influences via sparse linear decomposition. STRIDE achieves state-of-the-art for LLM pre-training attribution while being an order of magnitude ($13\times$) faster than previous art. We further validate its practical utility through downstream applications including data selection, data contamination, and qualitative analysis.

Recent progress in tabular foundation models suggests that training on synthetic tasks can substantially improve in-context learning capabilities, with overall performance largely depending on how well models can infer task-specific predictive relationships from the available context during inference. In this paper, we introduce TAFFY, a tabular foundation model with an In-Context Diversity Prior and a Task-Conditioned Looped Transformer that strengthen this ability. Specifically, to construct each synthetic pretraining context, the In-Context Diversity Prior samples from multiple related environments derived via controlled interventions and distribution shifts on a shared causal process. This in-context diversity encourages the model to learn a more comprehensive and task-specific representation. Moreover, the Task-Conditioned Looped Transformer iteratively and selectively applies a shared group of Transformer blocks to refine contextual representations, with a task-conditioned gate modulating the final hidden-state update. This enables task-adaptive iterative refinement. Together, these components encourage the model to identify predictive relationships from contextual contrasts during pretraining and dynamically modulate context integration for each task. Across six classification and five regression benchmark datasets, TAFFY attains the lowest average rank.