Wrong Votes, Right Gradients: Why Majority-Vote Rewards Track Verifiable RL
Organizations: Dartmouth College · Washington University in St. Louis
Abstract
Reinforcement learning with self-generated labels, such as majority vote over a model's own samples, often recovers most of the gain of training with verifiable rewards. This is puzzling from the usual prompt-level view, in which majority vote only returns a model's modal answer and cannot add information about correctness. We argue that the relevant unit is the batch-level update. Because parameters are shared, a prompt's own gradient accounts for less than 1% of the change in that prompt's output at practical batch sizes, so a wrong label matters only to the extent that label errors share a direction across prompts. We decompose the majority-vote update into shrinkage and misdirection relative to the gold update, and show that misdirection vanishes with batch size whenever errors are incoherent across prompts, however often the labels are wrong. Measuring per-response gradients on five models, we find that majority-vote errors are as incoherent as a random-reward null, that the majority-vote update agrees with the gold update as closely as two independent gold updates agree with each other, and that its noise-corrected cosine with the gold update is 1 within error. Randomly flipping up to 30% of gold labels leaves the update direction intact, while the same fraction flipped by a shared rule destroys it, and rewards that favor a kind of response on every prompt, such as a learned reward model, fall measurably short. The equivalence holds at every checkpoint we examine but is local: gold-reward training still ends ahead on held-out majority accuracy. Error coherence, not error rate, determines when self-generated labels can stand in for verification.
Figures & tables
| Split-half cosine | Expected update | |||
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Model | Gold vs. gold (ceiling) | MV vs. gold | (95% CI) | |
| Qwen3-4B-Base † | 331 | 0.647 | 0.647 | 1.006 (.979, 1.023) |
| Qwen3-4B-Base | 164 | 0.606 | 0.600 | 0.999 (.965, 1.043) |
| Qwen3-1.7B-Base | 636 | 0.842 | 0.834 | 0.998 (.988, 1.006) |
| Qwen2.5-7B | 151 | 0.799 | 0.818 | 1.010 (.968, 1.021) |
| Llama-3.2-3B-Instruct | 247 | 0.371 | 0.360 | 0.997 (.921, 1.072) |
| Right majority | Wrong majority | ||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Checkpoint | Gold | MV error | Null | Gold | MV error | Null | |
| Base | 22.41 | 0.39 | 0.30 | 0 6.55 | 0.23 | 0.69 | |
| Step 10 | 0 6.52 | 0.01 | 0.36 | 0 0.82 | 0.15 | 0.50 | |
| Step 20 | 27.99 | 0.14 | 0.15 | 13.44 | 0.55 | 0.66 | |
| Reward | Wrong (%) | ( ) | (95% CI) |
|---|---|---|---|
| Independent noise: gold labels flipped at random with probability | |||
| 0 5.5 | 0 1.4 | 1.000 (.979, 1.019) | |
| 0 9.8 | 0 0.8 | 1.003 (.977, 1.026) | |
| 20.4 | 0 1.2 | 1.011 (.969, 1.059) | |
| 30.8 | 0 0.2 | 1.036 ‡ | |
| Shared-rule noise: the same fraction flipped by response length | |||
| Checkpoint | Cosine | Shrinkage | Misdirection | Error/signal | Ceiling |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Base | 0.927 | 0.055 | 0.428 | 0.432 | 0.647 † |
| Step 10 | 0.810 | 0.143 | 0.621 | 0.637 | 0.265 |
| Step 20 | 0.972 | 0.020 | 0.239 | 0.240 | 0.658 |
Appendix figures & tables15 assets
Supplementary material from the paper’s appendix.
Appendix
| Setting | Value |
|---|---|
| Model and data | |
| Base model | Qwen3-4B-Base |
| Training data | DeepScaleR (29k problems) |
| Framework | verl 0.8.0 ( Sheng et al., 2025 ) |
| Training steps | 26 |
| Batch | |
| Base | Step 20 | |
| Mixed-outcome prompts (of 256) | 125 | 165 |
| wrong- / right-majority | 41 / 84 | 81 / 84 |
| 0.898 | 0.972 | |
| 1.092 | 1.009 | |
| Shrinkage | ||
| Misdirection | 0.480 | 0.239 |
| Model | Mean-centered | Std-normalized | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Qwen3-1.7B-Base | 636 | 0.997 (.989, 1.006) | 0.994 (.982, 1.008) |
| Qwen3-4B-Base (on-policy) | 164 | 0.999 (.965, 1.043) | 1.000 (.968, 1.034) |
| Qwen3-4B-Base step 20 | 165 | 1.002 (.981, 1.015) | 1.002 (.985, 1.013) |
| Qwen2.5-7B | 151 | 0.998 (.968, 1.027) | 0.996 (.962, 1.030) |
| Llama-3.2-3B-Instruct | 247 | 0.996 (.929, 1.078) | 0.998 (.911, 1.096) |
| Llama-3.1-8B-Instruct | 208 | 1.007 (.944, 1.079) | 1.017 (.929, 1.119) |
| Run | maj@1 | maj@16 | maj@64 | pass@64 |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| MV, seed A | 0.325 | 0.525 | 0.545 | 0.858 |
| MV, seed B | 0.314 | 0.505 | 0.537 | 0.866 |
| Gold, seed A | 0.348 | 0.550 | 0.585 | 0.843 |
| Gold, seed B | 0.339 | 0.557 | 0.595 | 0.866 |
| Within-reward spread (MV) | 0.011 | 0.019 | 0.007 | 0.007 |
| Within-reward spread (gold) | 0.008 | 0.007 | 0.010 | 0.022 |
| Step | 1 | 8 | 10 | 15 | 20 | 26 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Parse rate | 0.668 | 0.843 | 0.840 | 0.811 | 0.748 | 0.682 |
| Majority share | 0.382 | 0.408 | 0.420 | 0.465 | 0.511 | 0.548 |
| Maj. correct | 0.344 | 0.348 | 0.398 | 0.352 | 0.316 | 0.367 |
| Method | Source | Settings | Range | Mean recovery |
| Online MV | ||||
| TTRL † | Zuo et al. (2026) | 2 | 109–111% | 110% |
| Plurality-vote GRPO | Zhao et al. (2026b) | 2 | 0 69–98% | 0 83% |
| SRT | Shafayat et al. (2025) | 4 | 0 55–100% | 0 81% |
| Modified label-free rewards | ||||
| RESTRAIN | Yu et al. (2026) | 2 | 0 81–97% | 0 89% |
| Growth exponent | ||||
| Checkpoint | range | MV error | Gold | Gap |
| Base | 00 8 16 | 0.524 | 0.581 | 0.057 |
| 32 64 | 0.500 | 0.720 | 0.220 | |
| 64 128 | 0.524 | 0.813 | 0.289 | |
| 128 164 | 0.509 | 0.874 | 0.365 | |
| Step 20 | 16 32 | 0.506 | 0.684 | 0.179 |
| Model | Gold vs. gold | MV vs. gold | MV vs. MV | (95% CI) | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Qwen3-4B-Base † | 331 | 0.647 | 0.647 | 0.646 | ( .014, .014) |
| Qwen3-1.7B-Base | 636 | 0.842 | 0.834 | 0.831 | ( .016, .003) |
| Qwen2.5-7B | 151 | 0.799 | 0.818 | 0.843 | ( .010, .044) |
| Llama-3.2-3B-Instruct | 247 | 0.371 | 0.360 | 0.352 | ( .022, .010) |
| Llama-3.1-8B-Instruct | 208 | 0.438 | 0.399 | 0.362 | ( .050, .016) |
| Right majority | Wrong majority | ||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Checkpoint | Gold | MV | MV error | Null | Gold | MV | MV error | Null | |
| Base | 22.41 | 20.06 | 0.39 | 0.30 | 0 6.55 | 0 9.26 | 0.23 | 0.69 | |
| Step 10 | 0 6.52 | 0 6.52 | 0.01 | 0.36 | 0 0.82 | 0 2.79 | 0.15 | 0.50 | |
| Step 20 | 27.99 | 26.94 | 0.14 | 0.15 | 13.44 | 14.71 | 0.55 | 0.66 | |
| (a) Majority-vote accuracy | |||
| Base | Step 20 | Change (95% CI) | |
| maj@1 | 0.185 | 0.374 | 0.188 ( .158, .218) ∗ |
| maj@4 | 0.292 | 0.466 | 0.174 ( .145, .206) ∗ |
| maj@16 | 0.443 | 0.543 | 0.100 ( .066, .136) ∗ |
| maj@64 | 0.503 | 0.585 | 0.082 ( .030, .138) ∗ |
| (b) Majority-answer flips, base step 20 | |||
| Model | Raw | Length-controlled (95% CI) |
|---|---|---|
| Qwen3-4B-Base † | 0.990 | 0.973 (.934, 1.029) |
| Qwen3-4B-Base (on-policy) | 0.950 | 0.941 (.871, .993) |
| Qwen3-1.7B-Base | 0.902 | 0.969 (.955, .971) |
| Qwen2.5-7B | 0.536 | 0.959 (.926, 1.017) |
| Llama-3.2-3B-Instruct | 0.855 | 0.786 (.727, .862) |
| Llama-3.1-8B-Instruct | 0.883 | 0.756 (.738, .825) |
| Method | Model | Train set | Benchmarks averaged | Base | GT-RL | Method | Recovery |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Zuo et al. (2026) — GT-RL = Oat-Zero (same backbone), greedy decoding | |||||||
| TTRL | Qwen2.5-Math-1.5B | test set | AIME24, AMC, MATH-500 | 28.5 | 49.1 | 51.0 | 109% |
| TTRL | Qwen2.5-Math-7B | test set | AIME24, AMC, MATH-500 | 35.3 | 62.0 | 65.0 | 111% |
| Zhao et al. (2026b) — GT-RL = GRPO with gold answers, greedy decoding | |||||||
| Plurality-vote GRPO | Qwen2.5-3B | MATH | GSM8K, MATH-500 | 60.9 | 73.1 | 72.8 | 98% |
| Plurality-vote GRPO | Llama-3.2-3B-Inst | MATH | GSM8K, MATH-500 | 56.2 | 60.4 | 59.1 | 69% |
| Coherence | Growth exponent | |
|---|---|---|
| MV error | 0.030 | 0.594 |
| Gold gradient | 0.400 | 0.762 |
| Random reward (floor) | 0.001 | – |
| Sign-flip reference ( null) | – | 0.540 (.522, .576) |
| Step size | Own/other | ||
|---|---|---|---|
| 1.94 | |||
| 1.72 |
| Own share (%) | Scaling | ||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Model | KL-share slope | Shared energy | |||||
| Qwen3-1.7B-Base | 0 9.81 | 0 3.37 | 0.38 | 0.13 | 1.37 | 2.27% | 43 |
| Qwen3-4B-Base | 0 3.36 | 0 0.86 | 0.18 | 0.09 | 1.31 | 2.63% | 37 |
| Llama-3.2-3B-Instruct | 29.74 | 25.69 | 0.83 | – | 1.15 | 1.49% | 66 |
RL for Language Model Reasoning
Reinforcement learning for language model reasoning uses reward-driven training to improve multi-step problem solving, tool use, and reliable answers.
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