cs.AIOct 15, 2026

Rubric Judgments Lack Uncertainty: Conformal Weighting for LLM Evaluation

Authors: Licheng Pan, Haocheng Yang, Haoxuan Li, Yuzhou Chen, Yichen Sun, Yuan Lu, Xiaoxi Li, Hao Wang, 

Organizations: Zhejiang University · Xiaohongshu Inc · National University of Singapore · Peking University · 

Abstract

Rubric-based evaluation is widely used to assess large language model (LLM) outputs by decomposing quality into multiple criteria and assigning each a binary judgment from an LLM verifier. However, judgment certainty varies substantially across criteria. Existing methods uniformly aggregate these judgments into a final score, implicitly treating every criterion as equally certain and overlooking this heterogeneity. As a result, uncertain judgments remain incorporated into reward estimation without distinction, potentially yielding misleading training signals for downstream reinforcement learning (RL). To address this limitation, we propose Uncertainty-aware Rubric Weighting (URW), a training-free framework that quantifies criterion-level judgment uncertainty via conformal calibration. Specifically, URW elicits a soft uncertainty signal from a fixed pool of paraphrased judgment templates and converts it into a per-criterion weight using split-conformal pp-values with provable coverage guarantees. Extensive experiments demonstrate that URW consistently improves pairwise preference accuracy and delivers stronger downstream RL alignment.

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