From Cause to Effect: Generating Intermediate Event Chains in Videos

Existing Causal-Why Video Question Answering (VideoQA) models often struggle with higher-order reasoning, relying on opaque, monolithic pipelines that entangle video understanding, causal inference, and answer generation. These black-box approaches offer limited interpretability and tend to depend on shallow heuristics. We propose a novel, modular paradigm that explicitly decouples causal reasoning from answer generation, introducing natural language causal chains as interpretable intermediate representations. Inspired by human cognitive models, these structured cause-effect sequences bridge low-level video content with high-level causal reasoning, enabling transparent and logically coherent inference. Our two-stage architecture comprises a Causal Chain Extractor (CCE) that generates causal chains from video-question pairs, and a Causal Chain-Driven Answerer (CCDA) that derives answers grounded in these chains. To address the lack of annotated reasoning traces, we introduce a scalable method for generating accurate causal chains from existing datasets. We construct human verified causal chains for 46K samples. We also propose CauCo, a new evaluation metric for causality-oriented captioning. Experiments on three large-scale benchmarks demonstrate that our approach not only outperforms state-of-the-art models, but also yields substantial gains in explainability, user trust, and generalization -- positioning the CCE as a reusable causal reasoning engine across diverse domains. Project page: https://paritoshparmar.github.io/chainreaction/

Cause-and-effect reasoning in video is a significant challenge for Vision-Language Models (VLMs), as it requires going beyond surface-level perception to a deeper understanding of causal mechanisms. However, existing benchmarks rarely provide the fine-grained, grounded evidence needed to rigorously evaluate this capability. To address this gap, we introduce CaST-Bench, a benchmark for Causal Chain-Grounded Spatio-Temporal Video Reasoning. CaST-Bench presents complex causal questions that require models to identify and localize a chain of multiple spatio-temporal evidences. Through a human-AI collaborative pipeline, we construct a high-quality dataset of 2,066 questions over 1,015 videos, with causal chains annotated by temporal segments and bounding-box tracks. Furthermore, we design a comprehensive evaluation suite with novel metrics that assess not only answer correctness but also the capability for visual evidence grounded reasoning. This grounding is crucial for improving accuracy by mitigating spurious correlations and for enhancing user trust by making models more transparent. Our experiments show that current VLMs struggle with causal questions, largely due to their limited ability to construct precise and grounded causal chains. This highlights an important direction for improving future VLMs. Homepage: https://woven-by-toyota.github.io/CaST-Bench.

Recent large vision-language models have achieved strong performance on short- and medium-length video understanding, yet they remain inadequate for ultra-long or even infinite video reasoning, where models must preserve coherent memory over extended durations and infer causal dependencies across temporally distant events. Existing end-to-end video understanding methods are fundamentally limited by the $O(n^2)$ complexity of self-attention, while recent retrieval-augmented generation (RAG) approaches still suffer from fragmented clip-level memory, weak modeling of temporal and causal structure, and high storage and online inference costs. We present Event-Causal RAG, a lightweight retrieval-augmented framework for infinite long-video reasoning. Instead of indexing fixed-length clips, our method segments streaming videos into semantically coherent events and represents each event as a structured State-Event-State (SES) graph, capturing the event together with its surrounding state transitions. These graphs are merged into a global Event Knowledge Graph and stored in a dual-store memory that supports both semantic matching and causal-topological retrieval. On top of this memory, we design a bidirectional retrieval strategy to efficiently identify the most relevant event causal chains and provide them, together with the associated video evidence, to a backbone video foundation model for answer generation. Experiments on long-video understanding benchmarks demonstrate that Event-Causal RAG consistently outperforms strong clip-based retrieval baselines and long-context video models, particularly on questions requiring multi-event integration and causal inference across long temporal gaps, while also achieving improved memory efficiency and robust streaming performance.