Detecting Errors in Large Language Model Responses: The Incremental Predictive Value of Hidden States

As Large Language Models (LLMs) increasingly serve as foundational reasoning engines, their tendency to hallucinate remains a critical vulnerability. While recent internal state probes offer a promising alternative to slow external retrieval systems, they largely reduce hallucination detection to a token-wise binary classification task, failing to capture the structured, sequential boundaries of semantic drift. Here, we introduce an internal hidden state framework for fine-grained, span-level hallucination detection. By inspecting layer-wise activation patterns, we attempt to detect the exact hallucination onset and continuation tokens in an LLM generation. Our experiments show that this approach successfully isolates hallucination onsets, achieving substantial improvements in Precision-Recall AUC over random baselines despite extreme class imbalance. Ultimately, we propose a novel cross-model detection framework in which one model observes the internal representations elicited by another model's generation. We find that an external observer can match or exceed a generator's self-detection of its own hallucination onsets, including when the observer is the smaller model, suggesting that self-detection is not the ceiling for onset localisation.

We propose a lightweight and single-pass uncertainty quantification method for detecting hallucinations in Large Language Models. The method uses attention matrices to estimate uncertainty without requiring repeated sampling or external models. Specifically, we measure the Kullback-Leibler divergence between each attention head's distribution and a uniform reference distribution, and use these features in a logistic regression probe. Across multiple datasets, task types, and model families, attention divergence is highly predictive of answer correctness and performs competitively with existing uncertainty estimation methods. We find that this signal is concentrated in middle layers and on factual tokens such as named entities and numbers, suggesting that attention dynamics provides an efficient and interpretable white-box signal of model uncertainty.

Large language models generate fluent text that can contain unfaithful claims -- a phenomenon known as hallucination. We present a multi-signal detection pipeline combining fine-tuned DeBERTa-v3 classification, Monte Carlo (MC) Dropout uncertainty quantification, and temperature-scaled calibration for response-level hallucination detection. Evaluated on the HaluEval benchmark, our pipeline achieves F1=0.915 and AUROC=0.977 on general-domain tasks, with per-task F1 scores of 0.97 (QA), 0.96 (Summarization), and 0.82 (Dialogue). MC Dropout inference further improves accuracy to 93.2%. A context ablation study confirms the model performs genuine entailment reasoning rather than exploiting surface patterns, with summarization F1 dropping 24% when knowledge context is removed. Learning curve analysis reveals that 25% of training data captures 77% of full-data performance. Beyond detection, we apply Direct Preference Optimization (DPO) to a Qwen2.5-0.5B generator, reducing its hallucination rate from 85.5% to 37.7% (55.9% relative reduction) as measured by our detector. Cross-domain evaluation on the SciFact biomedical benchmark shows that general-domain training transfers poorly (F1=0.52), motivating domain-specific fine-tuning. PubMedBERT fine-tuned on SciFact achieves F1=0.63 and AUROC=0.81, demonstrating that domain-matched pre-training is the strongest adaptation strategy. Code and models are available at https://github.com/varunteja99/hallucination-detection-nlp