The Token-Energy Law of LLM Decode: Active Bytes and Realized Time Account for Joules per Token

Large language model serving is limited by facility power. Energy per token determines how many tokens a datacenter can serve, while a latency target bounds how quickly each user receives them. During decode, every weight is read from memory for every generated token. Batching amortizes this read across users but makes no individual user faster. Speculative decoding does: a drafter proposes several future tokens, and the target model verifies them in a single forward pass that reuses the same weight read. Because every drafted token must be verified whether or not it is accepted, the energy speculation saves depends on how many drafted tokens are accepted. This saving is hard to pin down. It varies across target models from different attention families and across drafting schemes, and it depends on the text being served. Every drafter we evaluate accepts fewer tokens on conversation than on code, and every trained drafter accepts fewer on Romansh, a low-resource language, than on English. We measure speculative decoding under production serving conditions (SGLang, CUDA graphs enabled) on H100 and H200 GPUs, at batch sizes up to 64 across 5 corpora. On dense models, verification, not drafting, dominates the energy cost. The saving shrinks as the batch grows, because batching has already shared the weight read that speculation would divide among the accepted tokens. At large batch sizes, block drafters push verification past the balance point between arithmetic and memory traffic into the compute-bound regime, where the saving becomes a loss, and a drafter with low acceptance raises energy per token. Meeting a tighter latency target with speculation then costs additional energy. Larger batches lower energy per token without speculation. Speculation adds to that saving only when acceptance is high, and on the model we tested it leaves little headroom for latency-preserving DVFS.

Large language model (LLM) inference serving is priced by tokens, but GPU energy is consumed over inference windows. This accounting mismatch makes token-normalized metrics incomplete, since average output-token energy can decrease even when total request energy increases. We characterize this behavior with a decomposed energy model: a fixed one-time prefill with a fixed generation setup cost, while each output-token generation step adds marginal step energy. We evaluate this LLM inference energy model on NVIDIA H100 and H200 GPUs across dense and mixture-of-experts (MoE) models, reporting both request energy and token energy as functions of model type (M), phase (P), batch size (B), context length (C), and output length (N). For Llama-3.2-1B on H200 at batch-16 and context-4K, increasing output length from 10 to 512 tokens reduces token energy from 7.46 to 0.72 J/token while total batched inference-window energy increases from 1.19 to 5.93 kJ. Batching also reduces token energy, but the gain is context-bounded: at 10 output tokens, the batch-16 to batch-1 gain falls from 6.31x at context-512 to 1.17x at context-4K. MoE models amplify this effect: sparse routing and fragmented expert execution increase fixed energy at low concurrency, while batching spreads that energy across more generated tokens and substantially narrows the dense-vs.-MoE token-energy gap. These results show that energy-aware serving should jointly optimize both request energy and token energy, rather than only reducing per-token energy cost.

The growing adoption of large language models (LLMs) has raised increasing concerns about the energy consumption and environmental impact of inference. This paper presents a systematic empirical study of decode-phase energy consumption across representative open-source LLMs employing Multi-Head Attention (MHA), Grouped Query Attention (GQA), and Grouped Query Attention with Sliding Window Attention (SWA) to characterize how attention architecture influences decode-phase energy consumption under varying inference workloads. We evaluate four models across different context lengths, batch sizes, and generation workloads while measuring GPU energy using NVIDIA hardware counters. We examine the effects of context length, attention mechanism, Key-Value (KV) cache growth, and batching on decode-phase energy consumption. Results show that attention mechanism is the primary factor governing how decode energy scales with context length. MHA models exhibit substantially steeper energy growth than GQA models, whereas GQA with SWA maintains nearly constant energy consumption. We further show that model size primarily determines absolute energy consumption, while batching reduces both energy per generated token and request latency by up to 87%. These findings provide practical guidance for selecting energy-efficient LLM architectures and inference configurations.