Do VLAs Know They Will Fail? Interpretable Success and Failure Patterns in Physical AI Systems
Organizations: Kahlert School of Computing, University of Utah
Abstract
Vision-Language-Action (VLA) models have emerged as powerful general-purpose robot policies, but their successes and failures remain difficult to diagnose and understand. In this work, we show that sparse autoencoder (SAE) representations of OpenVLA activations contain outcome-predictive information and can be used to predict task failure before the robot reaches an unrecoverable state. Moreover, to provide insights into what common behaviors may contribute to these outcomes, we identify individual SAE features whose strong activations are associated with specific stages of success or failure, and uncover recurring behavioral patterns by localizing temporal intervals where these features exhibit significant activation changes. We further develop a VLM-based interpretation pipeline to generate behavioral descriptions of these patterns and validate their correspondence to feature activations on held-out intervals.
Figures & tables
| False alarms | Actionable | Lead | |
|---|---|---|---|
| 0.5 | 0.64 | 0.88 | 190 |
| 0.7 | 0.25 | 0.55 | 160 |
| 0.9 | 0.14 | 0.33 | 70 |
| Feature | Success rate | Automatically inferred pattern | AUROC | |
| 480 | 3.33% | In Task 9 , arm moves right from the stove toward the moka pot handle without holding the pot | 0.72 | 0.26 |
| 467 | 3.33% | In Task 1 , gripper hovers close to the moka pot handle without moving the pot | 0.84 | 0.22 |
| 850 | 3.33% | In Task 1 , open gripper approaching the not-yet-grasped middle moka pot | 0.42 | 0.53 |
| 1578 | 93.33% | In Task 4 , carrying the grasped task object left toward the basket | 0.89 | 0.04 |
| 1671 | 86.67% | In Task 3 , carrying the grasped green-and-red-label can left and placing it in the basket | 1.00 | 0.17 |
| All 12 feature–task pairs (261 clips; shuffled-description AUROC 0.58) | 0.76 | 0.17 | ||
Appendix figures & tables5 assets
Supplementary material from the paper’s appendix.
Appendix
| Task | Instruction | Success |
|---|---|---|
| 0 | pick up the book and place it in the back compartment of the caddy | 80% |
| 1 | put both moka pots on the stove | 12% |
| 2 | put both the alphabet soup and the cream cheese box in the basket | 56% |
| 3 | put both the alphabet soup and the tomato sauce in the basket | 54% |
| 4 | put both the cream cheese box and the butter in the basket | 76% |
| 5 | put the black bowl in the bottom drawer of the cabinet and close it | 46% |
| Relation | Feature | Success rate | # Unique Tasks | Active trajectories |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Failure | 480 | 3.33% | 4 | 303 |
| Failure | 850 | 3.33% | 1 | 164 |
| Failure | 35 | 3.33% | 1 | 346 |
| Failure | 467 | 3.33% | 1 | 240 |
| Failure | 685 | 6.67% | 5 | 367 |
| Success | 1578 | 93.33% | 3 | 235 |
| Relation | Feature | Task | Automatically inferred pattern | Outcome relation | AUROC | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Failure | 35 | 1 | Empty arm swings right into the workspace before touching any object | ordinary task progress | 0.53 | 0.46 |
| Failure | 467 | 1 | Gripper hovers close to the moka pot handle without moving the pot | unclear | 0.84 | 0.22 |
| Failure | 480 | 1 | Stalled, unlifted, or pushing grasp attempt after closing in on the moka pot | early indicator | 0.56 | 0.06 |
| Failure | 480 | 8 | End effector holding or touching the yellow-and-white mug and moving it toward the open microwave | ordinary task progress | 0.65 | 0.15 |
| Failure | 480 | 9 | Arm moves right from the stove toward the moka pot handle / frying pan area without holding the pot | early indicator | 0.72 | 0.26 |
| Failure | 850 | 1 | Open gripper approaching the not-yet-grasped middle moka pot | ordinary task progress | 0.42 | 0.53 |
Vision-Language-Action Models
Vision-language-action models turn visual observations and natural-language instructions into actions for robots and other embodied agents.
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