ExCal: Optimization-Free Multivariate Time Series Anomaly Detection via Excess Calibration

Multivariate time series anomaly detection has become increasingly important in real-world applications, where labeled data are often scarce. Many existing approaches rely on unsupervised learning to model normal patterns, but they often treat all channels equally. This design can dilute anomaly-relevant signals, since not all channels contribute equally to anomaly detection. In this paper, we propose CALAD, a channel-aware contrastive learning framework for multivariate time series anomaly detection. CALAD governs the construction of contrastive samples using estimated channel relevance, allowing the learning process to reflect anomaly semantics rather than generic similarity. Channel relevance is estimated from reconstruction errors of a transformer-based autoencoder and is used to distinguish channels that are more influential to anomalous behaviors. Using this information, we design a channel-wise augmentation strategy in which positive and negative samples are constructed based on whether anomaly-relevant channels are preserved or perturbed. This encourages invariance to changes in irrelevant channels while being sensitive to changes in anomaly-relevant channels. Furthermore, CALAD combines contrastive learning and an auxiliary reconstruction head, allowing the model to learn discriminative representations while retaining normal structures. Experiments on multiple real-world datasets shows that CALAD consistently outperforms existing methods, particularly under distribution shift scenarios. We provide the code for reproducibility at https://github.com/hirundo1218/CALAD

Real-world multivariate time series anomalies are rare and often unlabeled. Additionally, prevailing methods rely on increasingly complex architectures tuned to benchmarks, detecting only fragments of anomalous segments and overstating performance. In this paper, we introduce OracleAD, a simple and interpretable unsupervised framework for multivariate time series anomaly detection. OracleAD encodes each variable's past sequence into a single causal embedding to jointly predict the present time point and reconstruct the input window, effectively modeling temporal dynamics. These embeddings then undergo a self-attention mechanism to project them into a shared latent space and capture spatial relationships. These relationships are not static, since they are modeled by a property that emerges from each variable's temporal dynamics. The projected embeddings are aligned to a Stable Latent Structure (SLS) representing normal-state relationships. Anomalies are identified using a dual scoring mechanism based on prediction error and deviation from the SLS, enabling fine-grained anomaly diagnosis at each time point and across individual variables. Since any noticeable SLS deviation originates from embeddings that violate the learned temporal causality of normal data, OracleAD directly pinpoints the root-cause variables at the embedding level. OracleAD achieves state-of-the-art results across multiple real-world datasets and evaluation protocols, while remaining interpretable through SLS.

Matrix Profile (MP) methods are an interpretable and scalable family of distance-based methods for time-series anomaly detection, but strong benchmark performance still depends on design choices beyond a vanilla nearest-neighbor profile. This technical report documents an open-source Matrix Profile for Anomaly Detection (MMPAD) submission to TSB-AD, a benchmark that covers both univariate and multivariate time series. The submitted system combines pre-sorted multidimensional aggregation, efficient exclusion-zone-aware k-nearest-neighbor (kNN) retrieval for repeated anomalies, and moving-average post-processing. To serve as a reproducible reference for MP-based anomaly detection on TSB-AD, we detail the released implementation, the hyperparameter settings for the univariate and multivariate tracks, and the corresponding benchmark results. We further analyze how the system performs on the aggregate leaderboard and across specific dataset characteristics.The open-source implementation is available at https://github.com/mcyeh/mmpad_tsb.