Model-Based RL

This paper develops a model-based framework for continuous-time policy evaluation (CTPE) in reinforcement learning, incorporating both Brownian and Lévy noise to model stochastic dynamics influenced by rare and extreme events. Our approach formulates the policy evaluation problem as solving a partial integro-differential equation (PIDE) for the value function with unknown coefficients. A key challenge in this setting is accurately recovering the unknown coefficients in the stochastic dynamics, particularly when driven by Lévy processes with heavy tail effects. To address this, we propose a robust numerical approach that effectively handles both unbiased and censored trajectory datasets. This method combines maximum likelihood estimation with an iterative tail correction mechanism, improving the stability and accuracy of coefficient recovery. Additionally, we establish a theoretical bound for the policy evaluation error based on coefficient recovery error. Through numerical experiments, including a real-data BTC price experiment, we demonstrate the effectiveness and robustness of our method in recovering heavy-tailed Lévy dynamics and verify the theoretical error analysis in policy evaluation.

Offline model-based reinforcement learning (MBRL) serves as a competitive framework that can learn well-performing policies solely from pre-collected data with the help of learned dynamics models. To fully unleash the power of offline MBRL, model selection plays a pivotal role in determining the dynamics model utilized for downstream policy learning. However, offline MBRL conventionally relies on validation or off-policy evaluation, which are rather inaccurate due to the inherent distribution shift in offline RL. To tackle this, we propose BOMS, an active model selection framework that enhances model selection in offline MBRL with only a small online interaction budget, through the lens of Bayesian optimization (BO). Specifically, we recast model selection as BO and enable probabilistic inference in BOMS by proposing a novel model-induced kernel, which is theoretically grounded and computationally efficient. Through extensive experiments, we show that BOMS improves over the baseline methods with a small amount of online interaction comparable to only $1\%$-$2.5\%$ of offline training data on various RL tasks.

Merely pursuing performance may adversely affect safety, while a conservative policy for safe exploration will degrade the performance. How to guarantee both safety and performance in learning-based control problems is an interesting yet challenging issue. This paper aims to enhance system performance with a safety guarantee by solving reinforcement learning (RL)-based optimal control problems for nonlinear systems subject to high-relative-degree state constraints and unknown time-varying disturbance/actuator faults. A new type of control barrier functions (CBFs), termed high-order reciprocal-based control barrier function, is proposed to handle high-relative-degree constraints, which extends the design of CBFs to enforce robust safety without knowing the disturbance bound. The concept of gradient similarity is proposed to quantify the relationship between safety and performance. Finally, gradient manipulation and adaptive mechanisms are introduced in the model-based safe RL framework to enhance the performance with a safety guarantee. Two simulation examples illustrate the efficacy of the proposed algorithms.

Imagining potential outcomes of actions before execution helps agents make more informed decisions, a prospective thinking ability fundamental to human cognition. However, mainstream model-free Reinforcement Learning (RL) methods lack the ability to proactively envision future scenarios, plan, and guide strategies. These methods typically rely on trial and error to adjust policy functions, aiming to maximize cumulative rewards or long-term value, even if such high-reward decisions place the environment in extremely dangerous states. To address this, we propose the Prospective (ProSpec) RL method, which makes higher-value, lower-risk optimal decisions by imagining future n-stream trajectories. Specifically, ProSpec employs a dynamic model to predict future states (termed "imagined states") based on the current state and a series of sampled actions. Furthermore, we integrate the concept of Model Predictive Control and introduce a cycle consistency constraint that allows the agent to evaluate and select the optimal actions from these trajectories. Moreover, ProSpec employs cycle consistency to mitigate two fundamental issues in RL: augmenting state reversibility to avoid irreversible events (low risk) and augmenting actions to generate numerous virtual trajectories, thereby improving data efficiency. We validated the effectiveness of our method on the DMControl benchmarks, where our approach achieved significant performance improvements. Code will be open-sourced upon acceptance.

Efficiently tackling multiple tasks within complex environments, such as those found in robot manipulation, remains an ongoing challenge in robotics and an opportunity for data-driven solutions such as reinforcement learning (RL). The high cost of data gathering in robotics encourages data-efficient approaches such as model-based RL, which builds a dynamic model of the robot to conduct most policy learning on cheaper simulations, while enabling data reuse and transfer between tasks. In this work, we employ Bayesian deep learning (BDL) with a double purpose. First, we increase the model quality by improving its calibration. Second, we improve data efficiency by performing active learning of the dynamic model during a preliminary exploration phase, actively estimating the information gain of each transition and using it as the exploration reward. We compare several BDL methods in a realistic robot manipulation setup. Our experiments show that our approach matches the quality of relevant alternatives with much lower robot execution requirements and, unlike previous studies validated only on standard RL environments, we tackle robotic arm end-tasks on a complete manipulator simulator such as CoppeliaSim. Code is available at https://github.com/ropertunizar/BayesianActiveExploration.