Political Discourse Analysis

The recent escalation of the Iran Israel USA conflict in 2026 has triggered widespread global discussions across social media platforms. As people increasingly use these platforms for expressing opinions, analyzing public sentiment from these discussions can provide valuable insights into global public perception. This study aims to analyze global public sentiment regarding the Iran Israel USA conflict by mining user-generated comments from YouTube news channels. The work contributes to public opinion analysis by introducing a privacy preserving framework that combines topic wise sentiment analysis with modern deep learning techniques and Federated Learning. To achieve this, approximately 19,000 YouTube comments were collected from major international news channels and preprocessed to remove noise and normalize text. Sentiment labels were initially generated using the VADER sentiment analyzer and later validated through manual inspection to improve reliability. Latent Dirichlet Allocation (LDA) was applied to identify key discussion topics related to the conflict. Several transformer-based models, including BERT, RoBERTa, XLNet, DistilBERT, ModernBERT, and ELECTRA, were fine tuned for sentiment classification. The best-performing model was further integrated into a federated learning environment to enable distributed training by preserving user data privacy. Additionally, Explainable Artificial Intelligence (XAI) techniques using SHAP were applied to interpret model predictions and identify influential words affecting sentiment classification. Experimental results demonstrate that transformer models perform effectively, and among them, ELECTRA achieved the best performance with 91.32% accuracy. The federated learning also maintained strong performance while preserving privacy, achieving 89.59% accuracy in a two client configuration.

Policy setting in the USA according to the Garbage Can'' model differentiates between problem'' and ``solution'' focused processes. In this paper, we study a large dataset of US Senator postings on Twitter (1.68m tweets in total). Our objective is to develop an automated method to label Senatorial posts as either in the problem or solution streams. Two academic policy experts labeled a subset of 3967 tweets as either problem, solution, or other (anything not problem or solution). We split off a subset of 500 tweets into a test set, with the remaining 3467 used for training. During development, this training set was further split by 60/20/20 proportions for fitting, validation, and development test sets. We investigated supervised learning methods for building problem/solution classifiers directly on the training set, evaluating their performance in terms of F1 score on the validation set, allowing us to rapidly iterate through models and hyperparameters, achieving an average weighted F1 score of above 0.8 on cross validation across the three categories using a BERTweet Base model.

Political polarization emerges from a complex interplay of beliefs about policies, figures, and issues. However, most computational analyses reduce discourse to coarse partisan labels, overlooking how these beliefs interact. This is especially evident in online political conversations, which are often nuanced and cover a wide range of subjects, making it difficult to automatically identify the target of discussion and the opinion expressed toward them. In this study, we investigate whether Large Language Models (LLMs) can address this challenge through Target-Stance Extraction (TSE), a recent natural language processing task that combines target identification and stance detection, enabling more granular analysis of political opinions. For this, we construct a dataset of 1,084 Reddit posts from r/NeutralPolitics, covering 138 distinct political targets and evaluate a range of proprietary and open-source LLMs using zero-shot, few-shot, and context-augmented prompting strategies. Our results show that the best models perform comparably to highly trained human annotators and remain robust on challenging posts with low inter-annotator agreement. These findings demonstrate that LLMs can extract complex political opinions with minimal supervision, offering a scalable tool for computational social science and political text analysis.

This paper describes the KCLarity team's participation in CLARITY, a shared task at SemEval 2026 on classifying ambiguity and evasion techniques in political discourse. We investigate two modelling formulations: (i) directly predicting the clarity label, and (ii) predicting the evasion label and deriving clarity through the task taxonomy hierarchy. We further explore several auxiliary training variants and evaluate decoder-only models in a zero-shot setting under the evasion-first formulation. Overall, the two formulations yield comparable performance. Among encoder-based models, RoBERTa-large achieves the strongest results on the public test set, while zero-shot GPT-5.2 generalises better on the hidden evaluation set.

This paper introduces ParlaCAP, a large-scale dataset for analyzing parliamentary agenda setting across Europe, and proposes a cost-effective method for building domain-specific policy topic classifiers. Applying the Comparative Agendas Project (CAP) schema to the multilingual ParlaMint corpus of over 8 million speeches from 28 parliaments of European countries and autonomous regions, we follow a teacher-student framework in which a high-performing large language model (LLM) annotates in-domain training data and a multilingual encoder model is fine-tuned on these annotations for scalable data annotation. We show that this approach produces a classifier tailored to the target domain. Agreement between the LLM and human annotators is comparable to inter-annotator agreement among humans, and the resulting model outperforms existing CAP classifiers trained on manually-annotated but out-of-domain data. In addition to the CAP annotations, the ParlaCAP dataset offers rich speaker and party metadata, as well as sentiment predictions coming from the ParlaSent multilingual transformer model, enabling comparative research on political attention and representation across countries. We illustrate the analytical potential of the dataset with three use cases, examining the distribution of parliamentary attention across policy topics, sentiment patterns in parliamentary speech, and gender differences in policy attention.

Social media platforms play a pivotal role in shaping political discourse, but the scale and rapid evolution of online content make systematic analysis difficult. We introduce an end-to-end framework for inducing an interpretable topic taxonomy from unlabeled text corpora. The framework combines embedding-based clustering with iterative large language model (LLM) inference to construct a topic taxonomy without requiring predefined labels or seed topics. It first synthesizes candidate topics from document clusters and then uses the resulting taxonomy to assign consistent topic labels across clusters. We evaluate the approach through a case study of political advertising ahead of the 2024 U.S. presidential election. We use the induced taxonomy to support downstream analyses of issue prevalence, moral framing, advertising spend, and demographic exposure patterns. These results suggest that iterative taxonomy construction can provide a scalable and interpretable approach to organizing large unlabeled text corpora while supporting substantive downstream analysis.

The increasing amount of political debates and politics-related discussions calls for the definition of novel computational methods to automatically analyse such content with the final goal of lightening up political deliberation to citizens. However, the specificity of the political language and the argumentative form of these debates (employing hidden communication strategies and leveraging implicit arguments) make this task very challenging, even for current general-purpose pre-trained Language Models (PLMs). To address this, we introduce a novel PLM for political discourse language called RooseBERT. Pre-training a language model on a specialised domain presents different technical and linguistic challenges, requiring extensive computational resources and large-scale data. RooseBERT has been trained on large political debate and speech corpora (11GB) in English. To evaluate its performances, we fine-tuned it on multiple downstream tasks related to political debate analysis, i.e., stance detection, sentiment analysis, argument component detection and classification, argument relation prediction and classification, policy classification, named entity recognition (NER). Our results show improvements over general-purpose PLMs on the majority of these tasks, highlighting how domain-specific pre-training enhances performance in political debate analysis. We release RooseBERT for the research community: https://huggingface.co/collections/MARIANNE-INRIA/roosebert.