The Invisible Leash: Why RLVR May or May Not Escape Its Origin

Reinforcement Learning with Verifiable Rewards (RLVR) has become a powerful approach for improving the reasoning capabilities of large language models (LLMs). While RLVR is designed for tasks with verifiable ground-truth answers, real-world verifiers (e.g., static code checkers) can introduce errors into the reward signal. Prior analyses have largely treated such errors as random and independent across samples, concluding that errors merely slow training with limited effect on final performance. However, practical verifiers tend to exhibit systematic errors. This introduces a risk of models learning unwanted consistent behavior from a structurally incorrect reward signal. In this work, we study the impact of such systematic verification errors on RLVR. Through controlled experiments on arithmetic tasks, we show that systematic false negatives lead to similar effects as random noise. On the other hand, systematic false positives can cause a wide range of behaviors from sub-optimal plateaus to performance collapse. Crucially, these outcomes are not determined by the overall error rate but by the specific pattern of introduced errors, making pre-hoc mitigation difficult. Our results show that, in contrast to prior conclusions, realistic verification errors can critically shape RLVR outcomes and that verifier quality has to be understood beyond its sample-level error rate.

Reinforcement learning with verifiable rewards (RLVR) has become a key approach for enhancing the reasoning abilities of large language models. However, RLVR often suffers from diversity collapse: Pass@$1$ improves while high-$k$ Pass@$k$ degrades, which is viewed as a narrowing of the model's reasoning boundary. We formalize this diversity collapse through the lens of overtraining: once a problem's contribution to the reference metric has effectively saturated, further updates no longer expand what the model can solve but still concentrate probability mass on the trajectories favored by on-policy sampling. Under a standard setup with few rollouts per problem, even a single observed success places a problem in a nearly saturated regime for high-$k$ Pass@$k$, so most updates in standard RLVR are overtraining from the boundary perspective. This perspective also suggests a reading of whether RLVR can expand the model's reasoning abilities beyond the base model: since RLVR is structurally biased against high-$k$ Pass@$k$, its aggregate decline does not by itself mean that no new reasoning gains occurred. Interventionally, restricting updates to problems with zero observed success lifts Pass@$256$ above the base model on difficult benchmarks; observationally, a non-trivial fraction of initially unsolvable problems become solvable during standard RLVR training. Building on these findings, we propose Bayesian Boundary Gating (BBG), which redirects optimization away from overtraining by estimating each problem's marginal contribution to the reasoning boundary. Across multiple reasoning benchmarks, BBG improves average Pass@$k$ across a wide range of $k$.

Reinforcement learning with verifiable rewards (RLVR) has substantially improved the reasoning capabilities of large language models. While existing analyses identify that RLVR-induced changes are sparse, they primarily focus on the magnitude of these updates, largely overlooking their direction. In this work, we argue that the direction of updates is a more critical lens for understanding RLVR's effects, which can be captured by the signed, token-level log probability difference $Δ\log p$ between the base and final RLVR models. Through statistical analysis and token-replacement interventions, we demonstrate that $Δ\log p$ more effectively identifies sparse, yet reasoning-critical updates than magnitude-based metrics (\eg divergence or entropy). Building on this insight, we propose two practical applications: (1) a test-time extrapolation method that amplifies the policy along the learned $Δ\log p$ direction to improve reasoning accuracy without further training; (2) a training-time reweighting method that focuses learning on low-probability (corresponding to higher $Δ\log p$) tokens, which improves reasoning performance across models and benchmarks. Our work establishes the direction of change as a key principle for analyzing and improving RLVR.