Signature-Kernel One-Class Learning with Manifold Regularisation for Multivariate Time Series Anomaly Detection

One-class learning is an effective methodology for time series anomaly detection, yet kernel one-class approaches often compare sequences in a pointwise fashion and ignore the geometry of normal data. In this work, we present a manifold-regularised, large-margin $\ell_p$-support vector data description ($\ell_p$-SVDD) method that analyses sequences as paths via the signature kernel. By incorporating a a graph-Laplacian penalty into the $\ell_p$-SVDD objective function and utilising the representer theorem for manifold regularisation, we illustrate that the dual task retains the functional form of the original one with a modified kernel matrix. As such, existing Frank--Wolfe solvers can be applied unchanged. We show that this new modified kernel is a valid kernel matrix and under a generic norm bound on the discriminant, the proposed model yields a smaller Rademacher-complexity bound than the baseline. Furthermore, the signature kernel which is computed through a Goursat partial differential equation and can handle irregularly sampled data and is invariant to reparametrisation has not previously been used for one-class time series anomaly detection to the best of our knowledge. Our experiments on five widely used benchmarks, evaluated without point adjustment, demonstrate that the proposed approach compares very favourably with the state of the art approaches.