stat.MLAug 5, 2025

Reinforcement Learning in MDPs with Information-Ordered Policies

Authors: Zhongjun Zhang, Shipra Agrawal, Ilan Lobel, Sean R. Sinclair, Christina Lee Yu

Organizations: Department of Industrial Engineering and Management Sciences, Northwestern University · Department of Industrial Engineering and Operations Research, Columbia University · Technology, Operations, and Statistics, Stern School of Business, New York University · School of Operations Research and Information Engineering, Cornell University

Abstract

Many operational Markov decision processes provide structured information where a trajectory generated under one policy may also reveal how other policies would have performed. We formalize this through an information order over a parameterized policy class, writing πθ′⪯πθπ_{θ'} \preceq π_θ when data collected under πθπ_θ can be used to estimate the long-run average cost of πθ′π_{θ'}. We develop an epoch-based reinforcement learning algorithm for infinite-horizon average-cost MDPs with continuous state and action spaces that exploits this order through counterfactual inference. For a dd-dimensional policy class whose information order has width ww, the algorithm achieves O~(HwdT/α)\widetilde O(H\sqrt{wdT/α}) regret relative to the optimal policy in the class, where HH is a bias span upper bound and αα denotes an "information ratio". Thus, the width captures the effective exploration complexity of the problem, interpolating between full counterfactual feedback and unstructured policy learning. We instantiate the framework in lost-sales inventory systems with positive lead times, dual-sourcing systems governed by dual-index policies, and queues with state-dependent service rates. These applications yield new regret guarantees without requiring global convexity of the average-cost function or specialized arrival-rate structure. Numerical experiments show that exploiting the information order substantially improves learning performance over existing general-purpose and problem-specific benchmarks.

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