SPADE: A Large Language Model Framework for Soil Moisture Pattern Recognition and Anomaly Detection in Precision Agriculture
Authors: Yeonju Lee, Rui Qi Chen, Joseph Oboamah, Po Nien Su, Wei-zhen Liang, Yeyin Shi, Lu Gan, Yongsheng Chen, +2 more
Organizations: H. Milton Stewart School of Industrial and Systems Engineering, Georgia Institute of Technology, Atlanta, GA, USA · Panhandle Research and Extension Center, University of Nebraska-Lincoln, Scottsbluff, NE, USA · Department of Computer Science and Engineering, University of Nebraska-Lincoln, Lincoln, NE, USA · Department of Biological Systems Engineering, University of Nebraska-Lincoln, Lincoln, NE, USA · Institute for Robotics and Intelligent Machines, Georgia Institute of Technology, Atlanta, GA, USA · School of Civil & Environmental Engineering, Georgia Institute of Technology, Georgia Institute of Technology, Atlanta, GA, USA
Accurate interpretation of soil moisture patterns is critical for irrigation scheduling and crop management, yet existing approaches for soil moisture time-series analysis either rely on threshold-based rules or data-hungry machine learning or deep learning models that are limited in adaptability and interpretability. In this study, we propose SPADE (Soil moisture Pattern and Anomaly DEtection), which, to the best of our knowledge, is the first LLM-based framework specifically developed for soil moisture time-series analysis. Using GPT-4.1 and domain-informed prompts, SPADE performs zero-shot joint identification of wetting events and anomalies without task-specific annotation, training, or fine-tuning. By converting time-series observations into a textual representation, SPADE identifies wetting-event timing, estimates sensor-level moisture responses, detects and classifies multiple predefined anomaly types, and generates structured, human-readable reports. SPADE was evaluated using real-world soil moisture data collected from commercial and research farms encompassing four crop types across the United States. Compared with the evaluated training-free baselines, SPADE achieved higher anomaly recall and F1-score, strong precision and recall for wetting-event detection, and high accuracy in classifying the observed anomaly types. Its structured reports summarize event timing, anomaly type, concise explanations, and sensor-level moisture responses, supporting practical interpretation of soil moisture patterns. These outputs may support soil moisture review, anomaly screening, and relative comparison of wetting responses rather than direct irrigation prescription.
Soil Moisture (SM) modelling constitutes a complex spatiotemporal learning problem characterised by nonlinear environmental interactions, heterogeneous data sources, and limited ground observations. Physics-based approaches, such as water balance models, rely on explicit hydrological equations and high-quality inputs, but their computational cost and scalability limitations restrict large-scale deployment. Data-driven artificial intelligence (AI) methods have emerged as flexible alternatives, enabling the extraction of empirical relationships between soil moisture and environmental variables with reduced modelling assumptions. This work presents a structured survey of AI-based models for soil moisture estimation and classification. Existing approaches are organized into five categories: (a) statistical time-series models, (b) geostatistical methods (c) classical machine learning (ML) models, (d) Deep Learning (DL) models and (e) Probabilistic/Bayesian methods. These models leverage historical soil moisture records, meteorological variables, vegetation indices, topography, soil characteristics, and geolocation data to perform regression or classification tasks.
Ilektra Tsimpidi, George Georgoulas, Vidya Sumathy +1
Accurate soil moisture estimation in semi-arid agricultural regions requires integrating remote sensing and meteorological information while accounting for the delayed response of soil moisture to atmospheric forcing. This study introduces a Cross-Correlation Function (CCF) methodology to determine optimal temporal lags (0-30 days) between meteorological variables and soil moisture, as well as inter-depth lags (0-15 days) describing vertical moisture propagation from the surface (10 cm) to deeper layers (20-50 cm). The approach was validated across seven agricultural plots in southeastern Spain. Three deep learning architectures, each targeting a distinct prediction granularity, were evaluated under five feature configurations ranging from satellite-only to full satellite-meteorology-depth fusion: a CNN for per-pixel estimation within each plot, an LSTM for frame-level (daily plot-mean) prediction, and a CNN-LSTM hybrid operating on sliding windows with pooled multi-patch training. Models were assessed on held-out data to measure genuine generalisation. Meteorological variables improved performance over the satellite-only baseline, while subsurface depth information proved decisive across all architectures. The per-pixel CNN achieved the strongest single-patch result (R^2 = 0.877, RMSE = 2.28), with a seven-patch average R^2 of 0.535, representing an improvement of +1.00 over the satellite-only baseline. The pooled CNN-LSTM hybrid obtained the highest overall performance (R^2 = 0.930, CVRMSE = 8.0%). These results demonstrate that explicitly modelling atmospheric and vertical subsurface delays substantially improves soil moisture estimation for precision agriculture.
Adrian Canovas-Rodriguez, Aurora González Vidal, Antonio F. Skarmeta
Recent studies have explored large language models for time-series anomaly detection, yet existing approaches often rely on a single general-purpose model to directly infer anomaly indices or intervals, limiting controllability, interpretability, and reliability for complex anomaly patterns. We propose SAGE (Specialized Analyzer Group for Expert-like Detection), a multi-agent framework for structured anomaly diagnosis in univariate time series. It decomposes anomaly analysis into four specialized Analyzers for point, structural, seasonal, and pattern anomalies. Each Analyzer applies family-specific numerical tools and diagnostic visualizations to generate evidence, while an evidence-grounded Detector consolidates the evidence into confidence-scored anomaly records with intervals and candidate types. A Supervisor then converts these structured records into analyst-facing diagnostic reports. SAGE further constructs synthetic in-context examples from normal-reference training segments, without using real anomalous segments or anomaly-type labels as in-context examples. Across three benchmarks, SAGE achieves the best average performance among strong ML/DL and language-model-based baselines. Ablation studies and human evaluation further show that the proposed framework improves detection reliability and the practical usefulness of diagnostic outputs.