Beyond Sustainable Development Goal (SDG) Accelerators: Directed Evidence for Adaptive Sustainability Portfolios

The United Nations' Sustainable Development Goals (SDGs) provide a globally recognised framework for addressing major societal, environmental, and economic challenges. While recent advances in natural language processing (NLP) and large language models (LLMs) have enabled the automatic identification of SDG-related content, they do not capture whether the described events represent progress toward or regression from a specific goal. To address this gap, we introduce the novel task of SDG polarity detection and present SDG-POD, a benchmark dataset combining manually annotated and synthetically generated examples. We evaluate six state-of-the-art open-source LLMs under both zero-shot and fine-tuning settings and investigate the impact of synthetic data augmentation on model performance. Our results show that SDG polarity detection remains challenging for current LLMs; however, fine-tuned models, particularly QWQ-32B, achieve the best overall performance, with especially strong results on SDG-9, SDG-12, and SDG-15. Furthermore, we demonstrate that synthetic training data consistently improves model robustness and classification performance. This work introduces a new benchmark for SDG polarity detection and provides practical insights into developing LLM-based systems for sustainability monitoring.

Assessing progress toward the Sustainable Development Goals (SDGs) requires multi-step reasoning over visual cues, contextual knowledge, and development indicators, where incomplete evidence use and imperfect evidence integration can introduce hidden prediction biases. Real-world SDG monitoring further spans both qualitative judgments and quantitative estimation. However, existing benchmarks typically evaluate these aspects in isolation, obscuring systematic biases that emerge when models substitute priors for evidence. To address this gap, we propose SDGBiasBench, a large-scale benchmark suite for SDG-oriented vision-language reasoning. Spanning 500k expert-involved multiple-choice questions and 50k regression tasks, the benchmark enables comprehensive assessment of both decision-level and estimation-level bias in Vision--Language Models (VLMs). Evaluations on SDGBiasBench reveal an intrinsic SDG bias in current VLMs, where predictions are frequently driven by SDG specific priors rather than reliable multi-modal cues. To mitigate such bias, we propose CADE (Contrastive Adaptive Debias Ensemble), a training-free, plug-and-play method that leverages modality-specific answer priors. CADE yields significant gains on the proposed benchmark, improving multiple-choice accuracy by up to 25% and reducing regression MAE by up to 12 points across multiple VLMs. We hope our work can foster the development of more fair and reliable AI systems for sustainable development.

Measuring alignment between documents and structured reference frameworks requires identifying conceptual evidence distributed throughout the text and reporting it through measures that are quantitative, interpretable, and traceable. Many commonly used retrieval and classification approaches return either pairwise similarity scores or one or more class labels, whereas fewer methods provide concept-level scores that are directly traceable to the terminological evidence supporting them. We present Intelligent Target Locator (ITL), a domain-agnostic and language-portable methodology that estimates the affinity between the textual units of a target document and the concepts defined in a Structured Reference Document ($SRD$). From the $SRD$, ITL induces concept-specific terminological profiles built from independent terms, bigrams, trigrams, and co-occurrences. Each term is assigned an importance weight that combines concept membership, term-type specificity and inter-concept discriminability. The output is a textual-unit--concept affinity matrix that can be aggregated at different levels of granularity. We conduct an internal consistency assessment using the 17 Sustainable Development Goals (SDGs), evaluating each official goal statement against the $SRD$ induced from the same set of descriptors. Every statement reached its highest affinity with the corresponding concept, and the mean affinity across the remaining concepts stayed marginal relative to the mean reference affinity. This separation indicates that ITL distinguishes the conceptual profiles of the framework. ITL thus offers a general basis for quantifying document alignment with structured frameworks while keeping each result traceable to the terminological evidence that supports it.