Language Models Struggle to Use Representations Learned In-Context

Large language models (LLMs), when acting as agents, are expected to take observed data in context, infer the latent state space underlying the world, and leverage it for downstream prediction. However, prior work demonstrated that LLMs struggle to use representations learned in context on a graph tracking task, where the model needs to construct a representation of the graph governing data generation process and use it for subsequent predictions. In this paper, we show that extending this to few-shot settings, where each demonstration is generated from a different world with either the same or different graph topologies, enhances its prediction on 6 models from 4 model families. To understand this improvement, we linearly probe a low-dimensional world representation that encodes graph information in the hidden states. Notably, we find that few-shot demonstrations relocate the world representation and increase its predictive use. Specifically, for each model, these world representations shift in directions nearly orthogonal to their original subspace, and interventions on these representations selectively impair performance more than interventions on other subspaces. Consistent with this insight, we show that few-shot demonstrations with observations from different worlds improve performance on ARC-AGI-1&2, web agent tasks, and Othello. Our findings elucidate the role and internal mechanisms of few-shot demonstrations in in-context world modeling. More broadly, our work advances our understanding of how LLM agents learn from in-context observations and provides implications for their further improvement.

Large language models (LLMs) trained on next-token prediction exhibit remarkable in-context learning (ICL) abilities, yet the representations that support ICL remain poorly understood. We consider such representations in a controlled setting: prompting LLMs with data emitted from hidden Markov models (HMMs) and probing for the corresponding belief state -- the posterior distribution over the HMM's hidden states given the observed token history. Across six open-source LLMs prompted with data from 40 HMMs selected for non-trivial belief structure, we find that belief states are linearly decodable from residual stream activations, with peak probe $R^2$-values from 0.83-0.99 across HMM and LLM combinations, ranging from early to late layers. To establish functional relevance, we intervene directly on the probe-identified subspace via patching and steering, resulting in downstream prediction quality on the order of the untampered model, while controls degrade performance substantially. Together, these results provide representation-level evidence that ICL in open-source LLMs approximates optimal Bayesian prediction over a context-inferred generative model. More broadly, our findings extend prior results linking input-distribution structure to activation geometry: from toy networks trained explicitly on HMM data to production-scale LLMs.

The closed world asks AI for specialized competence and lets it manufacture the iid data its theory assumes: a fixed criterion licenses collecting examples until the task is covered. The open world asks for versatility --- taking up tasks a machine was not built for, from few examples and with little prior from a human designer --- and offers data that is grouped, not shuffled. Its tasks are not known in advance, so a machine must do inference-time learning (1st requirement). Modeling tasks as sharing latent factors and decomposing the training objective, we derive two more: a rich representation, retaining more than iid generalization requires, and a predictive disentanglement that aligns inputs and outputs into matched low-dimensional groups. The analysis further predicts the need for a consistent inner learner, and the benefit of long contexts spanning related tasks. We test these claims on language models up to 8B, asking whether a model has a property (qualitative) rather than how much it wins (quantitative). Models that meet the requirements improve as data from related tasks accumulates; the rest degrade, and neither scale nor layer-type interleaving repairs this.