Recent work in the privacy literature shows that sample-targeted membership inference attacks (MIAs) significantly outperform untargeted approaches by a wide margin. Motivated by this observation, we address the following question: can the privacy vulnerability of individual training points be assessed without training shadow models? We show that per-sample exposure to MIA is governed not only by a point's loss, but also by a data-dependent geometric measure. In the linear setting, we derive a closed-form decomposition of individual black-box MIA vulnerability into a population leverage score and a residual loss term, making explicit how sample-dependent geometry translates into privacy exposure. Since the final layer of most modern architectures is linear, we extend this framework to deep networks and propose a surrogate score operating on last-layer representations that requires only a single trained model and no shadow models. Empirical evaluations across diverse datasets and architectures show that our score outperforms loss and gradient-norm baselines at identifying the highest-risk points under state-of-the-art attacks, providing a computationally efficient and theoretically grounded tool for per-sample privacy risk assessment.
Figures & tables
Figure 1: Generalization gap and membership inference attack performance for the Gaussian linear regression model. (left) Heatmap of the generalization gap E[Δℓi] as a function of εi2 and hˉii , estimated with Monte-Carlo. (middle) Theoretical false negative rate (FNR) βi of the optimal attack on the point i as a function of the false positive rate (FPR) αi , for different values of the structural error εi , with hˉii=1 and σ2=1 . (right) Same as (middle) but with fixed εi=1 and hˉii varying.
Figure 2: Recall of the top- k % LiRA’s attack most vulnerable samples (ranked by the Average Success Rate) when keeping the top- k % for each of the four surrogate: the loss ℓi , the gradient norm ∥∇ℓi∥ , the influence estimate ΔℓiIF , and the Newton estimate ΔℓiNS . Axes are log-log; the dotted diagonal y=x is the random baseline. Solid lines are means over 16 target models with ±1 std bands; dashed-lines show a single representative model.
Recall of Top 1% @5% (in %)
Dataset
Model
Loss ℓi
∥∇ℓi∥
ΔℓiNS
ΔℓiIF
SST-2
BERT, full ft.
28.2±2.4 %
5.3±1.1 %
28.8±2.6 %
28.8±2.6 %
BERT, linear probe
10.7±1.6 %
7.2±1.9 %
8.2±2.5 %
8.9±1.6 %
CalHousing
Ridge regression
12.3±2.8 %
12.3±2.8 %
13.3±2.6 %
13.2±2.5 %
MLP
52.2±6.7 %
22.5±6.9 %
74.9±7.4 %
75.5±7.0 %
CIFAR-10
CNN
53.7±2.5 %
36.8±2.5 %
62.8±2.1 %
62.2±2.2 %
Table 1: Recall (%) of the true LiRA top-1 % when keeping the top-5 % by each surrogate. Mean ± std across target models. Higher is better; bold = best per dataset.
Appendix figures & tables10 assets
Supplementary material from the paper’s appendix.
Appendix
Dataset
Task
Model
Backbone
∣D∣
#classes
UCI Energy
Reg.
MLP
2 hidden blocks [64,32] , dropout 0.3
614
—
California Housing
Reg.
Linear Reg.
1 linear layer
16,512
—
California Housing
Reg.
MLP
3 hidden blocks [128,128,128]
16,512
—
BloodMNIST
Classif.
DINO
DINOv2 ViT-S/14 (frozen + linear head)
8,000
8
CIFAR-10
Classif.
CNN
3 conv blocks,
50,000
10
CIFAR-100
Classif.
ResNet-20
3 stages, dropout 0.3
50,000
100
Appendix
Table 2: Datasets and architectures used in our benchmark. ∣D∣ denotes the number of training examples used to draw membership splits. #classes is only relevant for classification tasks.
Dataset
Model
Epochs
Batch
LR
Optimizer
Weight decay
UCI Energy
MLP
300
32
10−3
Adam
10−3
California Housing
Linear Reg.
200
256
10−2
Adam
10−3
California Housing
MLP
200
256
10−3
Adam
5⋅10−4
BloodMNIST
DINO (linear)
100
512
10−2
SGD ( μ=0.9 )
10−6
CIFAR-10
CNN
25
256
10−3
AdamW
5⋅10−4
CIFAR-100
ResNet-20
50
256
10−3
SGD ( μ=0.9 )
5⋅10−4
Appendix
Table 3: Training hyperparameters. Loss is quadratic for regression and cross-entropy for classification.
Training
Attacks+Stats
Surrogates
IF (full network)
Total
Dataset / Model
per-model
200 refs
16 targets
200 refs
per-target
per-target
GPU-h
UCI Energy / MLP
30 s
1.7 h
8 min
30 s
3 s
–
1.7 h
California / Linear reg.
1 min
3.3 h
0.3 h
7 min
10 s
–
3.6 h
California / MLP
1 min
3.3 h
0.3 h
7 min
10 s
20 min
8.9 h
BloodMNIST / DINO (linear)
15 min
60.0 h
4.0 h
5 min
15 s
–
64.0 h
CIFAR-10 / CNN
4 min
13.0 h
1.0 h
20 min
30 s
2.2 h
49.2 h
Appendix
Table 4: Compute budget for our experimental setting. Values are observed run-times in GPU-hours. Surrogates aggregates the GPU time spent computing the influence / Newton scores surrogates over all targets.
Figure 3: Recall of the top- k % LiRA ’s attack most vulnerable samples (ranked by the Average Success Rate) when keeping the top- k % for each of the classical surrogates as well as the full Influence Function surrogate ∇ℓi⊤Hθ−1∇ℓi . Axes are log-log; the dotted diagonal y=x is the random baseline. Solid lines are means over 16 target models with ±1 std bands;
Recall (%)
Dataset
Surrogate
@0.1%
@1%
@5%
Spearman ρ
SST2 (BERT, full ft.)
Loss ℓi
0.00±0.00
5.44±1.36
30.83±1.11
0.474±0.022
∥∇ℓi∥
0.00±0.00
0.57±0.18
4.64±0.33
–
Self-entropy
0.02±0.06
6.34±1.16
28.52±1.10
0.470±0.022
ΔℓiNS
1.02±1.47
7.05±1.23
31.30±1.44
0.389±0.036
ΔℓiIF
1.22±1.54
6.88±1.30
31.28±1.44
0.389±0.036
Appendix
Table 5: LiRA membership-inference attack: top- k recall (%) and Spearman rank correlation. Best results per dataset are in bold . Contrast with Table 1 , the recall values here are when seeking the top- k samples with the highest surrogates scores, by keeping the top- k samples with the highest surrogate scores and checking how many of them are in the top- k samples with the highest LiRA ASR score.
Figure 4: Recall of the top- k % RMIA ’s attack most vulnerable samples (ranked by the Average Success Rate) when keeping the top- k % for each of the four surrogate: the loss ℓi , the gradient norm ∥∇ℓi∥ , the influence estimate ΔℓiIF , and the Newton estimate ΔℓiNS . Axes are log-log; the dotted diagonal y=x is the random baseline. Solid lines are means over 16 target models with ±1 std bands; dashed-lines show a single representative model.
Figure 5: Recall of the top- k % Shokri ’s attack most vulnerable samples (ranked by the Average Success Rate) when keeping the top- k % for each of the four surrogate: the loss ℓi , the gradient norm ∥∇ℓi∥ , the influence estimate ΔℓiIF , and the Newton estimate ΔℓiNS . Axes are log-log; the dotted diagonal y=x is the random baseline. Solid lines are means over 16 target models with ±1 std bands; dashed-lines show a single representative model.
Figure 6: Visualization of the 10 images with the highest influence and Newton scores for BloodMNIST (top), CIFAR-10 (middle) and CIFAR-100 (bottom).
Figure 7: Joint distribution of local loss ℓi and influence for every training sample of a single target model, coloured by per-sample LiRA ASR, log-log axes.
Rank
ΔℓiNS
ΔℓiIF
1
to appearing in this junk that ’s tv sitcom material at best
is never quite able to overcome the cultural moat surrounding its l…
2
the filmmakers wisely decided to let crocodile hunter steve irwin d…
spider-man
3
the kind that pretends to be passionate and truthful but is really …
nicks refuses to let slackers be seen as just another teen movie , …
4
a supernatural mystery that does n’t know whether it wants to be a …
recycle images and characters that were already tired 10 years ago
5
less the cheap thriller you ’d expect than it is a fairly revealing…
report that the children of varying ages in my audience never cough…
6
played-out
breach gaps in their relationships with their fathers
Appendix
Table 6: Top-10 highest- ∣ leverage ∣ training sentences for BERT (linear probe) on SST2, ranked by Newton (left) and Influence (right) surrogates.
Universitat Rovira i Virgili, Department of Computer Engineering and Mathematics, CYBERCAT-Center for Cybersecurity Research of Catalonia, ComSCIAM-Center for Computational Science and Applied Mathematics Av. Països Catalans 26, 43007 Tarragona, Catalonia