Risk-Averse Wasserstein Distributionally Robust Online Learning

Distributionally robust optimization (DRO) is widely used for decision-making under uncertainty, but its adversarial focus on worst-case loss can lead to overly conservative policies. To mitigate this, we study ex-ante Distributionally Robust Regret Optimization (DRRO) with Wasserstein ambiguity sets, designed to balance robustness with upside potential. We develop a theory of Wasserstein DRRO (WDRRO) paralleling Wasserstein DRO. Under smoothness and regularity, WDRRO selects among ERM optima by a first-order gradient-discrepancy rule. If the ERM optimizer is unique, first-order sensitivity vanishes and a second-order expansion governs deviations. For convex quadratics ERM and DRRO coincide for any radius. We then study regimes where these assumptions fail: nondifferentiable max-affine losses, discrete references, and larger radii, where WDRRO can differ from ERM and WDRO. We show that computing WDRRO regret is NP-hard even without bilinear terms. Nevertheless, we develop exact algorithms, a tractable convex relaxation with guarantees, and experiments showing tightness and loss-dependent behavior.

We propose a distributionally robust approach to learning hyperparameters for first-order methods in convex optimization. Given a dataset of problem instances, we minimize a Wasserstein distributionally robust version of the performance estimation problem (PEP) over algorithm parameters such as step sizes. Our framework unifies two extremes: as the robustness radius vanishes, we recover classical learning to optimize (L2O); as it grows, we recover worst-case optimal algorithm design via PEP. We solve the resulting problem with stochastic gradient descent, differentiating through the solution of an inner semidefinite program at each step. We prove high-probability bounds showing that the true risk of the learned algorithm is at most the in-sample L2O optimum plus a slack that shrinks with the sample size, and is no worse than the worst-case PEP bound. On unconstrained quadratic minimization, LASSO, and linear programming benchmarks, our learned algorithms achieve strong out-of-sample performance with certifiable robustness, outperforming both worst-case optimal and vanilla L2O baselines.

Distributionally robust optimization (DRO) provides a principled framework for learning under distribution shift, but its practical use is hindered by the difficulty of evaluating worst-case risks for nonconvex loss functions. We study a penalized DRO formulation in which the adversary may choose any distribution but incurs a Wasserstein penalty for deviating from the empirical distribution. We show that the adversary's problem can be reformulated as an optimization problem over transport maps that push empirical samples to adversarial ones, and we prove that optimal maps are cyclically monotone. We also show that standard adversarial training---based on per-sample local optimization---violates cyclical monotonicity and wastes transport costs unless the adversary is severely restricted. We propose two remedies. First, we introduce multi-start particle ascent, which alternates parallel gradient ascent with reassignment to enforce cyclical monotonicity across samples. Second, we parameterize adversarial maps as gradients of input-convex neural networks, which guarantees cyclical monotonicity by construction. Experiments on robust regression, image classification, and robust control show that our methods consistently outperform standard adversarial training and state-of-the-art baselines, achieving improved robustness and better generalization under distribution shift.