math.STFeb 26, 2026

Low-degree Lower bounds for clustering in moderate dimension

Authors: Alexandra Carpentier, Nicolas Verzelen

Organizations: Institut für Mathematik, Universität Potsdam, Germany. · INRAE, MISTEA, Univ. Montpellier, Montpellier, France

Abstract

We study the fundamental problem of clustering nn points into KK groups drawn from a mixture of isotropic Gaussians in Rd\mathbb{R}^d. Specifically, we investigate the requisite minimal distance ΔΔ between mean vectors to partially recover the underlying partition. While the minimax-optimal threshold for ΔΔ is well-established, a significant gap exists between this information-theoretic limit and the performance of known polynomial-time procedures. Although this gap was recently characterized in the high-dimensional regime (n≤dKn \leq dK), it remains largely unexplored in the moderate-dimensional regime (n≥dKn \geq dK). In this manuscript, we address this regime by establishing a new low-degree polynomial lower bound for the moderate-dimensional case when d≥Kd \geq K. We show that while the difficulty of clustering for n≤dKn \leq dK is primarily driven by dimension reduction and spectral methods, the moderate-dimensional regime involves more delicate phenomena leading to a "non-parametric rate". We provide a novel non-spectral algorithm matching this rate, shedding new light on the computational limits of the clustering problem in moderate dimension.

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