Surprisal-Rényi Free Energy
Organizations: Bellini College of Artificial Intelligence, Cybersecurity and Computing, University of South Florida, Tampa, Florida, USA
Abstract
The forward and reverse Kullback-Leibler (KL) divergences arise as limiting objectives in learning and inference yet induce markedly different inductive biases that cannot be explained at the level of expectations alone. In this work, we introduce the Surprisal-Rényi Free Energy (SRFE), a log-moment-based functional of the likelihood ratio that lies outside the class of -divergences. We show that SRFE recovers forward and reverse KL divergences as singular endpoint limits and derive local expansions around both limits in which the variance of the log-likelihood ratio appears as a first-order correction. This reveals an explicit mean-variance tradeoff governing departures from KL-dominated regimes. We further establish a Gibbs-type variational characterization of SRFE as the unique minimizer of a weighted sum of KL divergences and prove that SRFE directly controls large deviations of excess code-length via Chernoff-type bounds, yielding a precise Minimum Description Length interpretation. Together, these results identify SRFE as a variance- and tail-sensitive free-energy functional that clarifies the geometric and large-deviation structure underlying forward and reverse KL limits, without unifying or subsuming distinct learning frameworks.
Figures & tables
Appendix figures & tables7 assets
Supplementary material from the paper’s appendix.
Appendix
| Component | Configuration |
|---|---|
| Target Distribution | |
| Type | 3-component Gaussian mixture |
| Means | , , |
| Covariance | (shared) |
| Weights | |
| Variational Family | |
| Method | Mode Coverage (out of 3) | Entropy Error | Test LogLik | ESS |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Forward KL | 3 | 1.2232 | -4.4727 | 2141.2888 |
| SRFE | 3 | 1.2984 | -4.5134 | 2045.3491 |
| SRFE | 3 | 1.1252 | -4.4556 | 2130.7683 |
| SRFE | 3 | 1.1209 | -4.4815 | 2094.5110 |
| SRFE | 3 | 1.0225 | -4.5039 | 1853.8958 |
| SRFE | 1 | 1.0986 | -17.5261 | 3091.4211 |
| Method | Avg. Mode Coverage | Avg. Entropy Error | Avg. ESS | Avg. Test LogLik |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| SRFE | 1 | 1.0929 | 7685.0161 | -17.1385 |
| SRFE | 1 | 1.0738 | 6173.0793 | -16.7109 |
| SRFE | 3 | 0.9969 | 1817.4306 | -4.5164 |
| SRFE | 3 | 1.0979 | 2062.4072 | -4.4815 |
| SRFE | 3 | 1.0871 | 2069.2320 | -4.4624 |
| SRFE | 3 | 1.1537 | 2119.8005 | -4.4656 |
| Method | Mode Coverage Std. | Entropy Error Std. | ESS Std. | Test LogLik Std. |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| SRFE | 0 | 0.0067 | 3254.3556 | 0.1807 |
| SRFE | 0 | 0.0132 | 3868.7299 | 0.2623 |
| SRFE | 0 | 0.0375 | 133.3366 | 0.0315 |
| SRFE | 0 | 0.0229 | 45.0580 | 0.0134 |
| SRFE | 0 | 0.0094 | 11.2182 | 0.0041 |
| SRFE | 0 | 0.0111 | 51.8966 | 0.0108 |
| Method | Entropy Error | Mode Coverage | ESS | Test LogLik | Final Loss |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Fixed | 1.1721 | 3 | 2146.8315 | -4.4581 | 1.7322 |
| Fixed (Forward KL) | 1.3121 | 3 | 2060.4182 | -4.5003 | 0.0000 |
| Fixed (Reverse KL) | 0.4594 | 2 | 8.6457 | -6.7723 | 2.6208 |
| Annealing ( ) | 1.1561 | 3 | 2064.5593 | -4.4414 | 1.0876 |
| Reverse Annealing ( ) | 1.0088 | 3 | 1893.3969 | -4.5421 | 2.0154 |
| Stepwise ( ) | 1.2391 | 3 | 2093.3459 | -4.4936 | 1.5042 |
| Method | Outlier Weight | Entropy Error | Mode Coverage | ESS | Test LogLik |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| SRFE | 0 | 0.4511 | 2 | 42.1605 | -7.1755 |
| SRFE | 0 | 1.1326 | 3 | 2143.2493 | -4.4626 |
| SRFE | 0 | 1.4338 | 3 | 1351.3932 | -4.6495 |
| SRFE | 0.1 | 20.6654 | 3 | 4.8961 | -23.0920 |
| SRFE | 0.1 | 21.0623 | 3 | 34.1576 | -23.4870 |
| SRFE | 0.1 | 6.6339 | 3 | 24.1573 | -9.2847 |