X-RAY: Mapping LLM Reasoning Capability via Formalized and Calibrated Probes

Large Language Models (LLMs) have achieved strong performance across natural language processing tasks, yet reliable reasoning remains an open challenge. Although modern LLMs show progress in structured inference, multi-step problem solving, and contextual understanding, their reasoning behavior is often inconsistent and sensitive to prompting strategies, task design, and model scale. This survey provides a systematic analysis of more than 300 recent papers from arXiv, Semantic Scholar, Google Scholar, Papers with Code, and the ACL Anthology to examine how reasoning capabilities emerge in LLMs and where they fail. We make three main contributions. First, we introduce a structured taxonomy of LLM reasoning research, covering Chain-of-Thought reasoning, multi-hop reasoning, mathematical reasoning, common sense reasoning, visual and temporal reasoning, code and algorithmic reasoning, retrieval-augmented reasoning, tool-augmented and agentic reasoning, and reinforcement learning-based reasoning. Second, we analyze methodological trends across these paradigms, including prompting methods, model architectures, training objectives, reward modeling, and evaluation benchmarks. Third, we synthesize recurring limitations and failure modes, such as reasoning hallucinations, brittle multi-step inference, weak causal abstraction, and poor cross-domain generalization. By organizing a rapidly expanding literature, this survey offers a unified view of the current capabilities and limitations of reasoning in LLMs. We also identify emerging research directions, including meta-reasoning, self-evolving reasoning frameworks, multimodal reasoning, and socially grounded reasoning. Overall, this work aims to serve as a reference for developing more robust, interpretable, and generalizable reasoning systems in future language models.

Large language models (LLMs) have demonstrated strong capabilities in complex reasoning tasks, yet their decision-making processes remain difficult to interpret. Existing explanation methods often lack trustworthy structural insight and are limited to single-instance analysis, failing to reveal reasoning stability and systematic failure mechanisms. To address these limitations, we propose the Trustworthy Unified Explanation Framework (TRUE), which integrates executable reasoning verification, feasible-region directed acyclic graph (DAG) modeling, and causal failure mode analysis. At the instance level, we redefine reasoning traces as executable process specifications and introduce blind execution verification to assess operational validity. At the local structural level, we construct feasible-region DAGs via structure-consistent perturbations, enabling explicit characterization of reasoning stability and the executable region in the local input space. At the class level, we introduce a causal failure mode analysis method that identifies recurring structural failure patterns and quantifies their causal influence using Shapley values. Extensive experiments across multiple reasoning benchmarks demonstrate that the proposed framework provides multi-level, verifiable explanations, including executable reasoning structures for individual instances, feasible-region representations for neighboring inputs, and interpretable failure modes with quantified importance at the class level. These results establish a unified and principled paradigm for improving the interpretability and reliability of LLM reasoning systems.

Understanding how LLMs reason is hindered by a practical asymmetry: while their generated outputs are observable, the underlying reasoning patterns remain opaque. Relying on single probes, such as Mutual Information Peak (MIP) or Deep-Thinking Ratio (DTR), risks underestimating the genuine inferential structure. To response this deficiency, we present an Integrated, cross-Architecture Reasoning (IAR) framework, designed to provide a unified approach to LLM reasoning interpretability. Specifically, we first propose to use bandwidth-calibrated MIP coupled with Tukey IQR peak-detection to isolate reasoning-crucial tokens at the output layer. Second, we performed an overlap analysis between MIP-picked tokens and DTR-deep tokens to trace the cross-layer trajectories of those tokens. This also discloses whether reasoning-crucial tokens are computation-intensive as well, further facilitating to understand how reasoning patterns evolve across model layers. Finally, we apply a Jaccard stability metric over multi-domain problems to verify if the MIP-identified tokens are reasoning quality-guaranteed. Extensive experiments on six models across four domains (mathematics, code, logic, and common sense) demonstrate IAR's generalizable interpretation capabilities across architectures. Our code is available at https://github.com/LeonardoMatthew/IAR.