OptEMA: Adaptive Exponential Moving Average for Stochastic Optimization with Zero-Noise Optimality

Orthogonalized momentum updates, as used in Muon-style optimizers, have recently shown strong empirical stability in large-scale deep learning. However, most current orthogonalized methods are still paired with fixed, externally scheduled, or otherwise open-loop magnitude rules, so their scale is not directly calibrated from the realized optimization trajectory. Motivated by the closed-loop perspective behind Lipschitz-free and noise-adaptive methods, we propose OptMuon, a family of adaptive momentum orthogonalization methods for stochastic nonconvex optimization. OptMuon combines Muon-style polar-factor directions with a trajectory-dependent AdaGrad-Norm-type coefficient schedule, so that the update magnitude is determined by the observed gradient and momentum history rather than by a prescribed Lipschitz-dependent rule. The schedule does not use the smoothness constant, the variance level, or the bounded-gradient constant in parameter selection, and its running-maximum correction prevents isolated gradient spikes from causing excessive coefficient collapse. Under lower-boundedness, unbiased stochastic gradients with bounded variance, smoothness, and an almost-sure bounded stochastic-gradient condition, we prove two complementary expected-stationarity guarantees. OptMuon-A achieves the noise-adaptive rate $\tilde{\mathcal O}(T^{-1/2}+σ^{1/2}T^{-1/4})$ under average smoothness, while OptMuon-I achieves $\tilde{\mathcal O}(T^{-1/2}+σ^{1/3}T^{-1/3})$ under individual smoothness. In the zero-noise regime, both bounds automatically reduce to a nearly optimal deterministic first-order rate $\tilde{\mathcal O}(T^{-1/2})$ without manual hyperparameter retuning. These results show that closed-loop scalar adaptation can be combined with Muon-style momentum orthogonalization while retaining noise adaptivity and zero-noise optimality up to logarithmic factors.

We provide a theoretical analysis of Adam under non-stationary stochastic objectives, separating two regimes: Euclidean tracking under adaptive strong monotonicity of the Adam-preconditioned mean-gradient operator, and high-probability projected stationarity guarantees under general $L$-smooth objectives. In the tracking regime, we derive finite-time expected and high-probability bounds that decompose sharply into four components: initialization, objective drift, a first-moment tracking error governed by $\beta_1$, and a preconditioner perturbation governed by $\beta_2$. We characterize the burn-in time required for the transient terms to decay to the asymptotic tracking bound under constant and step-decay schedules. We also prove a high-probability bound on the average projected stationarity gap for Adam under distribution shift. Across both analyses, our bounds reveal a noise--drift tradeoff: in noise-dominated regimes, first-moment averaging and adaptive preconditioning can yield favorable upper guarantees, whereas in drift-dominated regimes, stale first-moment information and preconditioner perturbations can enlarge Adam's tracking guarantee, potentially allowing vanilla SGD to attain a smaller tracking error. Our explicit $(\beta_1,\beta_2,\epsilon)$-dependent bounds identify mechanisms through which adaptive step-sizing can help or hurt under nonstationarity and provide theoretical explanations consistent with Adam's empirical instability and stabilization under distribution shift.

Adam retains a moving average of past squared gradients in its denominator, but the optimization cost of this memory is not well understood. We show that second-moment memory can itself suppress progress toward the optimum even under finite-variance stochastic gradients. For a simple two-point oracle, the expected positive normalized update is $O(M_2^{-1/2})$ after an initialization transient, where $M_2=(1-β_2)^{-1}$ is the second-moment memory length. We convert this directional bound, under the stated memory and stepsize scaling, into an average-stationarity lower bound of the same order on a smooth convex problem with normalized gap, smoothness, and variance. Long second-moment memory can slow optimization even when the gradient noise has finite variance.