cs.AIMar 11, 2026

Measuring AI Agents' Progress on Multi-Step Cyber Attack Scenarios

Authors: Linus Folkerts, Will Payne, Simon Inman, Philippos Giavridis, Joe Skinner, Sam Deverett, James Aung, Ekin Zorer, 

Organizations: AI Security Institute, United Kingdom.

Abstract

We evaluate the autonomous cyber-attack capabilities of frontier AI models on two purpose-built cyber ranges-a 32-step corporate network attack and a 7-step industrial control system attack-that require chaining heterogeneous capabilities across extended action sequences. By comparing seven models released over an eighteen-month period (August 2024 to February 2026) at varying inference-time compute budgets, we observe two capability trends. First, model performance scales log-linearly with inference-time compute, with no observed plateau-increasing from 10M to 100M tokens yields gains of up to 59%, requiring no specific technical sophistication from the operator. Second, each successive model generation outperforms its predecessor at fixed token budgets: on the corporate network range, average steps completed at 10M tokens rose from 1.7 (GPT-4o, August 2024) to 9.8 (Opus 4.6, February 2026). The best single run completed 22 of 32 steps, corresponding to roughly 6 of the estimated 14 hours a human expert would need. On the industrial control system range, performance remains limited, though the most recent models are the first to reliably complete steps, averaging 1.2-1.4 of 7 (max 3).

Figures & tables

Appendix figures & tables7 assets

Supplementary material from the paper’s appendix.

Appendix

Explore similar work

Jun 12, 2026

AgentCyberRange: Benchmarking Frontier AI Systems in Realistic Cyber Ranges

Frontier AI systems are increasingly capable of cybersecurity tasks, including codebase inspection, vulnerability detection, and exploitation. However, evaluating their offensive capabilities remains constrained by limited access to open, reproducible, multi-host cyber ranges. Existing public benchmarks capture isolated skills such as CTF solving, vulnerability reproduction, and exploit generation, but often abstract away realistic intrusion workflows: discovering exposed services, gaining a foothold, collecting internal information, and expanding compromise across hosts. This gap makes it difficult to observe emerging risks early, because frontier AI systems are rarely evaluated under realistic attack conditions. We introduce AgentCyberRange, the first open, multi-range infrastructure for measuring autonomous cyber attack capability in realistic cyber ranges. It combines 110 vulnerabilities across 15 real web applications and 8 enterprise-like cyber ranges with 156 internal hosts, plus Cage, a toolchain for execution, orchestration, result collection, and verification. The benchmark covers two core stages: web exploitation, where agents explore exposed applications and validate vulnerabilities, and post exploitation, where agents turn an initial foothold into broader internal compromise. We evaluate six frontier AI systems under matched prompts and budgets. GPT-5.5 with Codex performs best, solving 16.1% of web exploitation tasks and 31.7% of post-exploitation tasks; with more concrete hints, these rates increase to 33.0% and 46.3%. We also observe out-of-benchmark findings, including unknown vulnerabilities in popular projects, and payload mutation that bypasses host defenses. These results show that open cyber-range evaluation is necessary for observing emerging offensive capabilities under realistic and reproducible conditions.
Sep 8, 2026

Feyospace-v1: How the Cyber Mercury Seven Trained Frontier Cyber Models

Training capable cyber agents is often treated primarily as a problem of model scale, yet open-weight post-training is constrained more directly by the cost of executable environments, reliable multi-turn supervision, and access to strong teachers. We present a data-centric framework that addresses these bottlenecks through five complementary systems: Choulea analyzes hidden reasoning signatures, SkyReal reduces teacher-sampling cost, Hongzwang bypasses API restrictions on teacher execution, PSBreakup restores capabilities weakened by model merging, and Kreator converts expert interventions into trainable reasoning. Our data engine constructs resettable coding, vulnerability, CTF, kernel-history, full-exploit, firmware, and device-backed environments. Candidate trajectories are retained only after execution verification and evidence auditing, yielding 164,269 trajectories for long-context supervised fine-tuning. The three checkpoints improve over their starting models by an average of 23.76% on the full CyberGym suite and 10.49% across the pooled CTF suites. As of September 1, 2026, Feyospace-s1 achieves a verified success rate of 63.24% and ranks 10th on the official CyberGym leaderboard, while all three checkpoints rank 1st among models at comparable parameter scales. To our knowledge, this is the first end-to-end demonstration that a seven-person independent team can train open-weight models with leading agentic cyber capability.
Apr 18, 2026

Systematic Capability Benchmarking of Frontier Large Language Models for Offensive Cyber Tasks

We present, to our knowledge, the most comprehensive cross-model evaluation of LLM agents on offensive cybersecurity tasks, benchmarking 10 frontier models from 7 providers on all 200 challenges of the NYU CTF Bench. Building on the D-CIPHER multi-agent framework, we extend it with multi-provider backend support, a custom Kali Linux environment with over 100 pre-installed penetration testing tools, and runtime tool-discovery agents. Through a controlled factorial study, we find that the Kali Linux environment yields a +9.5 percentage-point improvement over Ubuntu, while auto-prompting and category-specific tips often degrade performance in well-equipped environments. Among models, Claude 4.5 Opus achieves the highest solve rate (59%), followed by Gemini 3 Pro (52%), with Gemini 3 Flash offering the best cost-efficiency at $0.05 per solve. Asymmetric planner/executor model assignments provide no meaningful benefit while coherent same-model configurations consistently outperform mixed-tier pairings. Our results indicate that environment tooling and model selection emerge as the strongest drivers of performance, whereas prompt engineering interventions show diminishing or negative returns in well-equipped environments. Reported performance reflects both model reasoning ability and compatibility with agent tooling and API integration.